Kiely Mairead, Brennan Lorraine, Dunlop Travis, Tate Gerard, Woodside Jayne V, Moretti Diego
Cork Centre for Vitamin D and Nutrition Research, School of Food and Nutritional Sciences, University College Cork, Cork, T12 WE28, Ireland.
School of Agriculture and Food Science, UCD Institute of Food and Health, UCD Conway Institute, University College Dublin, Dublin, D04 V1 W8, Ireland.
Eur J Nutr. 2025 May 31;64(5):199. doi: 10.1007/s00394-025-03706-w.
PURPOSE: The hypothesis that vitamin supplementation may prevent cardiovascular disease (CVD) has been supported by compelling mechanistic and observational data. However, most large-scale randomized controlled trials (RCT) of vitamins and CVD are null, leading to the conclusion that vitamins have no role in CVD prevention. Our objective was to examine challenges inherent in single nutrient trials using vitamin D and CVD as a case study. METHODS: We conducted a systematic scoping review of the literature published since 2011 on vitamin D and CVD, including RCTs, prospective cohort studies (PCS) and systematic reviews from Medline, Web of Science and Cochrane. Studies were conducted in adults and included CVD outcomes with a minimum sample of 500 for RCTs and 10,000 for PCS. We applied Bradford Hill criteria for the establishment of causality in biological systems. RESULTS: The search yielded 4170 papers, of which 40 were eligible, including 6 RCTs and 7 PCS. The Bradford Hill analysis of a causal relationship between vitamin D and CVD was mixed, with strong mechanistic support and reasonable strength and consistency in observational data but weak evidence of temporality. There was sufficient justification for trialling a benefit for CVD prevention but RCTs were inconsistent with the mechanistic and observational studies and reported mostly null results. Contextual factors were key, including baseline vitamin D status among participants, background supplementation and underlying participant disease profiles. CONCLUSION: This example illustrates the complexity of conducting nutrient trials and raises questions about RCTs of single nutrients for complex chronic diseases. The core challenge common to all nutrient trials is the absence of a zero-intake placebo group and variable background exposures. Alternative approaches and interpretation paradigms are required.
目的:维生素补充剂可能预防心血管疾病(CVD)这一假说已得到有力的机制和观察数据支持。然而,大多数关于维生素与心血管疾病的大规模随机对照试验(RCT)结果均为阴性,由此得出维生素在预防心血管疾病方面无作用的结论。我们的目标是以维生素D与心血管疾病为例,研究单一营养素试验中存在的固有挑战。 方法:我们对2011年以来发表的有关维生素D与心血管疾病的文献进行了系统的范围综述,包括随机对照试验、前瞻性队列研究(PCS)以及来自Medline、科学网和考克兰系统评价。研究针对成年人,纳入的心血管疾病结局研究中,随机对照试验的最小样本量为500,前瞻性队列研究为10000。我们应用布拉德福德·希尔标准来确定生物系统中的因果关系。 结果:检索到4170篇论文,其中40篇符合条件,包括6项随机对照试验和7项前瞻性队列研究。对维生素D与心血管疾病之间因果关系的布拉德福德·希尔分析结果不一,机制研究有有力支持,观察数据有合理的强度和一致性,但时间顺序证据薄弱。有充分理由试验维生素D对预防心血管疾病的益处,但随机对照试验结果与机制和观察性研究不一致,大多报告为阴性结果。背景因素很关键,包括参与者的基线维生素D状态、背景补充情况和潜在的参与者疾病特征。 结论:这个例子说明了进行营养素试验的复杂性,并对单一营养素用于复杂慢性疾病的随机对照试验提出了疑问。所有营养素试验共同面临的核心挑战是缺乏零摄入安慰剂组和背景暴露的变异性。需要采用替代方法和解释范式。
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