Mortier Philippe, Yang Xue, Altwaijri Yasmin A, Holdcraft Jacob A, Lee Sue, Sampson Nancy A, Albor Yesica, Alhadi Ahmad N, Alonso Jordi, Al-Saud Nouf K, Andersson Claes, Atwoli Lukoye, Auerbach Randy P, Muaka Caroline Ayuya, Báez-Mansur Patricia M, Ballester Laura, Bantjes Jason, Baumeister Harald, Bendtsen Marcus, Benjet Corina, Berman Anne H, Bruffaerts Ronny, Carrasco Paula, Chan Silver C N, Cohut Irina, Covarrubias Díaz Couder María Anabell, Crockett Marcelo A, Cuijpers Pim, David Oana A, Dong Dong, Ebert David D, Gaete Jorge, Felez-Nobrega Mireia, García Forero Carlos, Gili Margalida, Gutiérrez-García Raúl A, Haro Josep Maria, Hasking Penelope, Hunt Xanthe, Husky Mathilde M, Jaguga Florence, Jansen Leontien, Langer Álvaro I, Liu Yan, Mac-Ginty Scarlett, Martínez Vania, Mason Andre, Mathai Muthoni, McLafferty Margaret, Miranda-Mendizabal Andrea, Murray Elaine K, Musyoka Catherine M, O'Neill Siobhan M, Papasteri Claudiu C, Piqueras José A, Popescu Codruta A, Rapsey Charlene, Robinson Kealagh, Rodriguez-Jimenez Tiscar, Scarf Damian, Siu Oi-Ling, Stein Dan J, Struijs Sascha Y, Tomoiaga Cristina T, Valdés-García Karla Patricia, Vereecke Shelby, Vigo Daniel V, Wang Angel Y, Wong Samuel Y S, Kessler Ronald C
Health Services Research Group, Hospital del Mar Research Institute, Carrer del Doctor Aiguader, 88 08003 Barcelona, Spain; Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Epidemiología y Salud Pública, Instituto de Salud Carlos III (CIBERESP, ISCIII), Av. Monforte de Lemos, 3-5. Pabellón 11. Planta 0 28029 Madrid, Spain.
The Jockey Club School of Public Health and Primary Care, Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, PR China.
Psychiatry Res. 2025 Aug;350:116555. doi: 10.1016/j.psychres.2025.116555. Epub 2025 May 22.
To investigate the associations of demographic variables, childhood adversities (CAs), and mental disorders (MDx) with onset, transition, and persistence of suicidal thoughts and behaviors (STB) among first-year university students.
Poisson regression models within a discrete-time survival framework were constructed using web-based self-report survey data from 72,288 incoming university students across 18 countries (response rate=20.9%; median age=19 years, 57.9% female, 1.4% transgender, 21.0% non-heterosexual). These models examined the associations of four demographic variables, five CAs, and eight MDx with STB outcomes.
Lifetime prevalence of suicidal ideation, plans, and attempts was 47.0%, 26.0%, and 9.6%, respectively; 12-month estimates were 30.6%, 14.0%, and 2.3%. In unadjusted analyses, associations were strongest between lifetime onset of suicidal ideation and CAs (RR range 4.4-7.0), particularly parental psychopathology (relative risk [RR]=7.0 [95% CI 6.5-7.7]), followed by MDx (RR range 1.3-3.0). Of the demographic subgroups, transgender students had highest risk of STB (lifetime ideation onset RR=2.4 [2.3-2.6]; ideation-to-attempt transition RR=1.5 [1.3-1.8]). In fully adjusted models, strongest predictors of lifetime ideation onset were emotional abuse (RR=2.1 [1.9-2.2]), major depressive disorder (RR=2.0 [1.9-2.1]), and bipolar disorder (RR=1.8 [1.6-2.0]). Ideation-to-attempt transition remained most strongly associated with panic disorder (RR=1.5 [1.3-1.7]), bipolar disorder (RR=1.4 [1.2-1.7]), and sexual abuse (RR=1.4 [1.2-1.7]). Most predictors were significantly but weakly associated with persistence of ideation and plan, while only physical abuse remained associated with repeated suicide attempts (RR=1.3 [1.0-1.8]).
CAs and MDx are strong predictors of both onset of and transition within the STB spectrum, underscoring the importance of implementing early-life prevention interventions.
探讨人口统计学变量、童年逆境(CA)和精神障碍(MDx)与一年级大学生自杀想法和行为(STB)的发作、转变及持续存在之间的关联。
在离散时间生存框架内构建泊松回归模型,使用来自18个国家的72288名即将入学的大学生基于网络的自我报告调查数据(应答率=20.9%;中位年龄=19岁,女性占57.9%,跨性别者占1.4%,非异性恋者占21.0%)。这些模型检验了四个人口统计学变量、五种童年逆境和八种精神障碍与STB结局之间的关联。
自杀意念、计划和尝试的终生患病率分别为47.0%、26.0%和9.6%;12个月的估计值分别为30.6%、14.0%和2.3%。在未调整分析中,自杀意念的终生发作与童年逆境之间的关联最强(相对风险[RR]范围为4.4 - 7.0),尤其是父母精神病理学(相对风险[RR]=7.0[95%置信区间6.5 - 7.7]),其次是精神障碍(RR范围为1.3 - 3.0)。在人口统计学亚组中,跨性别学生的STB风险最高(终生意念发作RR=2.4[2.3 - 2.6];意念到尝试的转变RR=1.5[1.3 - 1.8])。在完全调整模型中,终生意念发作的最强预测因素是情感虐待(RR=2.1[1.9 - 2.2])、重度抑郁症(RR=2.0[1.9 - 2.1])和双相情感障碍(RR=1.8[1.6 - 2.0])。意念到尝试的转变仍然与惊恐障碍(RR=1.5[1.3 - 1.7])、双相情感障碍(RR=1.4[1.2 - 1.7])和性虐待(RR=1.4[1.2 - 1.7])关联最为紧密。大多数预测因素与意念和计划的持续存在显著但微弱相关,而只有身体虐待与反复自杀尝试仍然相关(RR=1.3[1.0 - 1.8])。
童年逆境和精神障碍是STB谱中发作和转变的强有力预测因素,强调了实施早期预防干预措施的重要性。