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当发生野火事件时,颗粒物对死亡率的长期影响会加剧。

Long-term impact of PM on mortality is exacerbated when wildfire events occur.

作者信息

Spoto Federica, Dominici Francesca, Braun Danielle, Casey Joan A

机构信息

Department of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.

Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.

出版信息

ArXiv. 2025 May 22:arXiv:2505.16613v1.

PMID:40470474
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12136479/
Abstract

There is extensive evidence that long-term exposure to all-source PM increases mortality. However, to date, no study has evaluated whether this effect is exacerbated in the presence of wildfire events. Here, we study 60+ million older US adults and find that wildfire events increase the harmful effects of long-term all-source PM exposure on mortality, providing a new and realistic conceptualization of wildfire health risks.

摘要

有大量证据表明,长期接触各种来源的细颗粒物(PM)会增加死亡率。然而,迄今为止,尚无研究评估在发生野火事件的情况下这种影响是否会加剧。在此,我们对6000多万美国老年人进行了研究,发现野火事件会增加长期接触各种来源的PM对死亡率的有害影响,从而为野火健康风险提供了一种新的、现实的概念。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3272/12136479/dacb7264be5d/nihpp-2505.16613v1-f0003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3272/12136479/83e15a68f32a/nihpp-2505.16613v1-f0001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3272/12136479/c2932b2a4e63/nihpp-2505.16613v1-f0002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3272/12136479/dacb7264be5d/nihpp-2505.16613v1-f0003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3272/12136479/83e15a68f32a/nihpp-2505.16613v1-f0001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3272/12136479/c2932b2a4e63/nihpp-2505.16613v1-f0002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3272/12136479/dacb7264be5d/nihpp-2505.16613v1-f0003.jpg

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本文引用的文献

1
Long-term exposure to PM2.5 and mortality: a national health insurance cohort study.长期暴露于 PM2.5 与死亡率:一项全国健康保险队列研究。
Int J Epidemiol. 2024 Oct 13;53(6). doi: 10.1093/ije/dyae140.
2
Long-term exposure to wildland fire smoke PM and mortality in the contiguous United States.在美国本土,长期接触野外火灾烟尘颗粒物与死亡率之间的关系。
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2024 Oct;121(40):e2403960121. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2403960121. Epub 2024 Sep 24.
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Mortality attributable to PM from wildland fires in California from 2008 to 2018.
2008 年至 2018 年加利福尼亚州野火产生的 PM 所致死亡率。
Sci Adv. 2024 Jun 7;10(23):eadl1252. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.adl1252.
4
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Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2024 Feb 20;121(8):e2306729121. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2306729121. Epub 2024 Feb 13.
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Long-term mortality burden trends attributed to black carbon and PM from wildfire emissions across the continental USA from 2000 to 2020: a deep learning modelling study.2000 年至 2020 年美国大陆野火排放的黑碳和 PM 导致的长期死亡负担趋势:深度学习建模研究。
Lancet Planet Health. 2023 Dec;7(12):e963-e975. doi: 10.1016/S2542-5196(23)00235-8.
6
The contribution of wildfire to PM trends in the USA.美国野火对 PM 趋势的贡献。
Nature. 2023 Oct;622(7984):761-766. doi: 10.1038/s41586-023-06522-6. Epub 2023 Sep 20.
7
Air Pollution and Mortality at the Intersection of Race and Social Class.空气污染与种族和社会阶层交叉处的死亡率。
N Engl J Med. 2023 Apr 13;388(15):1396-1404. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa2300523. Epub 2023 Mar 24.
8
Short-term exposure to wildfire-related PM increases mortality risks and burdens in Brazil.短期暴露于野火相关 PM 会增加巴西的死亡率风险和负担。
Nat Commun. 2022 Dec 10;13(1):7651. doi: 10.1038/s41467-022-35326-x.
9
Daily Local-Level Estimates of Ambient Wildfire Smoke PM for the Contiguous US.美国本土大气野火烟雾 PM 的日常局地水平估计值
Environ Sci Technol. 2022 Oct 4;56(19):13607-13621. doi: 10.1021/acs.est.2c02934. Epub 2022 Sep 22.
10
Mortality and Morbidity Effects of Long-Term Exposure to Low-Level PM, BC, NO, and O: An Analysis of European Cohorts in the ELAPSE Project.长期暴露于低水平 PM、BC、NO 和 O 对死亡率和发病率的影响:ELAPSE 项目中欧洲队列的分析。
Res Rep Health Eff Inst. 2021 Sep;2021(208):1-127.