Ahmed Naveed, Lou Wenlong, Ahmed Jameel, Akbar Ali
School of Humanities and Law (School of Public Administration), Yanshan University, Qinhuangdao, Hebei, P. R. China.
Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Cooperative Development Management Innovation Research Centre, the Key Research Base of Humanities and Social Sciences in Higher Education Institutions of Hebei Province, Qinhuangdao, P. R. China.
PLoS One. 2025 Jun 6;20(6):e0317342. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0317342. eCollection 2025.
Utilizing the Push and Pull theory, this study examines the impact of socio-economic disparities and natural disasters on migration and urbanization. With a global significance, the shift of population from rural to urban areas carries profound implications for societies and economies. In the specific context of Pakistan, the research delves into the driving forces behind the rapid urbanization in Karachi and Quetta. Employing a mixed-methods approach, combining quantitative data and qualitative Geographic Information System (GIS) analysis, the study surveyed 1120 migrants. Results indicate a significant positive correlation between socio-economic disparities, natural disasters, and migration, highlighting the interplay of rural push factors and urban pull factors. GIS and satellite images reveal noticeable expansion in covered areas in both cities. The study underscores the importance of effective disaster management and resilient infrastructure to mitigate the impact of natural disasters on migration and urbanization. The findings offer valuable insights for policymakers and academics, discussed in the later sections of the study.
本研究运用推拉理论，考察社会经济差距和自然灾害对移民与城市化的影响。人口从农村向城市地区的转移具有全球意义，对社会和经济有着深远影响。在巴基斯坦的具体背景下，该研究深入探究卡拉奇和奎达快速城市化背后的驱动因素。研究采用混合方法，将定量数据与定性地理信息系统（GIS）分析相结合，对1120名移民进行了调查。结果表明，社会经济差距、自然灾害与移民之间存在显著正相关，凸显了农村推力因素和城市拉力因素的相互作用。GIS和卫星图像显示，这两个城市的覆盖区域都有明显扩张。该研究强调了有效灾害管理和韧性基础设施对于减轻自然灾害对移民和城市化影响的重要性。研究结果为政策制定者和学者提供了宝贵见解，将在研究的后续章节中进行讨论。
