Wang Bin, Khalid Samia, Mahmood Hamid
School of Business Administration, Guangdong University of Finance and Economics, No. 21, Luntou Road, Haizhu District, Guangzhou, 510320 People's Republic of China.
School of Economics and Finance, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi People's Republic of China.
J Knowl Econ. 2023 Mar 30:1-20. doi: 10.1007/s13132-023-01285-x.
Long-term economic development requires R&D, and countries develop economic policies that envision innovation development programs. However, economic policy uncertainty frequently distracts from economic outcomes. The study aims to investigate the long-term impact of economic policy uncertainty on R&D, with a particular emphasis on Asian countries. Because the selected countries possess typical dynamics, such as bilateral trade associations, technological expertise, and economic activities, the study employs the second-generation panel cointegration method from 2003 to 2018. The cointegration results of Westerlund ( 69:709-748, 2007) confirmed a stable, long-run relationship between R&D, economic policy uncertainty, economic growth, and trade openness. According to the CS-ARDL findings, an increased economic policy uncertainty reduces R&D. Due to great economic collaboration among Asian countries; the effects are transmitted to R&D, especially international trade, business confidence, and economic growth. As a result, countries divert their resources to deal with the consequences, and investment suffers, whereas economic growth and trade openness help to expand R&D in the long run. It is evident that as economic growth accelerates, countries tend to invest more in R&D, and international trade encourages R&D. To promote prosperity in Asian countries, policymakers must design sound economic policies to counter unexpected events.
长期经济发展需要研发,各国制定了设想创新发展计划的经济政策。然而,经济政策不确定性常常干扰经济成果。本研究旨在调查经济政策不确定性对研发的长期影响,尤其侧重于亚洲国家。由于所选国家具有双边贸易协会、技术专长和经济活动等典型动态特征,本研究采用2003年至2018年的第二代面板协整方法。韦斯特伦德(2007年,第69卷:709 - 748页)的协整结果证实了研发、经济政策不确定性、经济增长和贸易开放度之间存在稳定的长期关系。根据CS - ARDL的研究结果,经济政策不确定性增加会减少研发。由于亚洲国家之间存在广泛的经济合作,这些影响会传导至研发,尤其是国际贸易、商业信心和经济增长。结果,各国将资源用于应对这些后果,投资受到影响,而经济增长和贸易开放度从长远来看有助于扩大研发。显然,随着经济增长加速,各国往往会在研发上投入更多,国际贸易也会促进研发。为促进亚洲国家的繁荣,政策制定者必须制定合理的经济政策以应对意外事件。