Xue Hua, Zeng Yuqi, Zou Xinyang, Jiang Yanhong, Fan Wenhui, Li Yongkun
Department of Neurology, Shengli Clinical Medical College of Fujian Medical University, No.134 East Street, Gulou District, Fuzhou, 350001, Fujian, China.
Department of Neurology, Fuzhou University Affiliated Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou, Fujian, China.
Sci Rep. 2025 Jun 6;15(1):20037. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-04677-y.
High low-density lipoprotein cholesterol are a significant risk factor for ischemic stroke. This study aims to analyze the burden of disease and temporal trends of ischemic stroke attributable to high LDL-C (IS-hLDL-C) in China, thereby providing a scientific basis for the development of effective prevention and intervention strategies. This study extracted the age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) and age-standardized disability-adjusted life years rates (ASDRs) of IS-hLDL-C from the global burden of disease (GBD) 2021. Stratified analysis was performed by gender and age groups. Joinpoint regression models were used to calculate average annual percentage changes (AAPC) to assess trends in IS-hLDL-C burden between 1990 and 2021. Age-period-cohort (APC) model to estimate the independent effects of age, period, and cohort on IS-hLDL-C burden. In 2021, the total number of IS-hLDL-C deaths in China was 300,052 (95% UI 92,515-527,456), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) was 6,850,565 (95% UI 2,313,203 - 11,418,167). From 1990 to 2021, ASMRs changed from 18.23 (95% CI 5.52-33.43) to 15.93 (95% CI 4.83-28.08), and the AAPC was -0.47 (95% CI -0.83 to -0.10). The ASDRs decreased from 385.65 (95% CI 129.83 to 647.51) in 1990 to 335.59 (95% CI 112.75 to 566.25) in 2021, with an AAPC of -0.49 (95% CI -0.83 to -0.10). Sex-stratified analysis showed that male had greater ASMRs and ASDRs than female. Age-stratified analysis showed that the burden was greatest among the elderly. In the age-period-cohort analysis, the age effect of IS-hLDL-C showed a continuous increasing trend during the study period. The period effect generally showed a positive trend during the study period. From 1990 to 2021, while the ASMRs and ASDRs related to IS-hLDL-C have decreased in China, the absolute numbers of deaths and DALYs remain substantial. The burden of IS-hLDL-C disease is disproportionately higher among male and the elderly. Given large population and the ongoing trend of population aging, it is essential to consider various lipid-lowering strategies in the future to allocate healthcare resources effectively and reduce the disease burden associated with IS-hLDL-C.
高低密度脂蛋白胆固醇是缺血性中风的一个重要危险因素。本研究旨在分析中国高LDL-C所致缺血性中风(IS-hLDL-C)的疾病负担和时间趋势,从而为制定有效的预防和干预策略提供科学依据。本研究从《2021年全球疾病负担》(GBD 2021)中提取了IS-hLDL-C的年龄标准化死亡率(ASMRs)和年龄标准化残疾调整生命年率(ASDRs)。按性别和年龄组进行分层分析。采用Joinpoint回归模型计算平均年度百分比变化(AAPC),以评估1990年至2021年期间IS-hLDL-C负担的趋势。采用年龄-时期-队列(APC)模型估计年龄、时期和队列对IS-hLDL-C负担的独立影响。2021年,中国IS-hLDL-C死亡总数为300,052例(95%UI 92,515-527,456),残疾调整生命年(DALYs)为6,850,565(95%UI 2,313,203-11,418,167)。从1990年到2021年,ASMRs从18.23(95%CI 5.52-33.43)变为15.93(95%CI 4.83-28.08),AAPC为-0.47(95%CI -0.83至-0.10)。ASDRs从1990年的385.65(95%CI 129.83至647.51)降至2021年的335.59(95%CI 112.75至566.25),AAPC为-0.49(95%CI -0.83至-0.10)。性别分层分析显示,男性的ASMRs和ASDRs高于女性。年龄分层分析显示,老年人的负担最重。在年龄-时期-队列分析中,IS-hLDL-C的年龄效应在研究期间呈持续上升趋势。时期效应在研究期间总体呈上升趋势。从1990年到2021年,虽然中国与IS-hLDL-C相关的ASMRs和ASDRs有所下降,但死亡和DALYs的绝对数量仍然很大。IS-hLDL-C疾病负担在男性和老年人中尤其高。鉴于中国人口众多且人口老龄化趋势持续,未来必须考虑各种降脂策略,以有效分配医疗资源,减轻与IS-hLDL-C相关的疾病负担。