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大不里士的空气质量指数与死亡率:寻找具有最强实证关联的指数。

Air quality indices and mortality in Tabriz: Finding the index with strongest empirical link.

作者信息

Asl Farshad Bahrami, Abdi Pooneh, Hosseinpoor Saeed, Alinejad Vahid

机构信息

Department of Environmental Health Engineering, School of Public Health, Urmia University of Medical Sciences, Urmia, Iran.

Department of Biostatistics, Urmia University of Medical Sciences, Urmia, Iran.

出版信息

Environ Pollut. 2025 Sep 15;381:126620. doi: 10.1016/j.envpol.2025.126620. Epub 2025 Jun 5.

Abstract

Air pollution, a major environmental and health challenge in metropolitan areas, affects quality of life and causes serious health issues. This study aimed to examine daily trends of selected air quality indices (AQI, AQHI, AQRI, and CAQI) and their relationship with trends of daily mortality in Tabriz megacity from March 21, 2021 to March 20, 2023. It used data from the East Azerbaijan Provincial Environmental Protection Agency on air pollutants (CO, SO, NO, O, PM, PM) and meteorological data (temperature & pressure) from the East Azerbaijan Provincial Meteorological Organization. Daily mortality (including total, infectious, respiratory, and cardiovascular deaths) was obtained from the Health and Treatment Deputy of East Azerbaijan. Following WHO data validation standards, the selected air quality indices were calculated and compared with daily mortality trends. Results showed that in 2021, Tabriz air quality was generally good, but in 2022, the number of days with "unhealthy" air quality, increased obviously. The Air Quality Health index (AQHI) showed a stronger correlation (p < 0.01) with daily mortality than other indices, suggesting greater accuracy in reflecting public health impacts. Moreover, on unhealthy or very unhealthy air days, daily mortality significantly increased. These findings highlight the value of multivariate indices like AQHI in monitoring pollution's health effects and guiding policymakers and urban managers to mitigate impacts. Our country currently uses AQI, which identifies only one main pollutant and cannot reflect combined health effects of multiple pollutants. This study recommends replacing AQI with AQHI for a more accurate assessment of health risks.

摘要

空气污染是大都市地区面临的一项重大环境与健康挑战,它影响生活质量并引发严重的健康问题。本研究旨在考察2021年3月21日至2023年3月20日大不里士市选定的空气质量指数(AQI、AQHI、AQRI和CAQI)的每日趋势及其与每日死亡率趋势的关系。研究使用了东阿塞拜疆省环境保护局提供的空气污染物(一氧化碳、二氧化硫、一氧化氮、臭氧、细颗粒物、可吸入颗粒物)数据以及东阿塞拜疆省气象组织提供的气象数据(温度和气压)。每日死亡率(包括总死亡人数、传染病死亡人数、呼吸道疾病死亡人数和心血管疾病死亡人数)来自东阿塞拜疆省卫生与治疗部门。按照世界卫生组织的数据验证标准,计算选定的空气质量指数并与每日死亡率趋势进行比较。结果显示,2021年大不里士的空气质量总体良好,但在2022年,空气质量“不健康”的天数明显增加。空气质量健康指数(AQHI)与每日死亡率的相关性强于其他指数(p < 0.01),表明在反映对公众健康的影响方面更具准确性。此外,在空气质量不健康或非常不健康的日子里,每日死亡率显著上升。这些发现凸显了像AQHI这样的多变量指数在监测污染对健康的影响以及指导政策制定者和城市管理者减轻影响方面的价值。我国目前使用的AQI仅确定一种主要污染物,无法反映多种污染物对健康的综合影响。本研究建议用AQHI取代AQI,以便更准确地评估健康风险。

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