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提高来澳大利亚的国际游客的沿海安全性。

Improving coastal safety for international visitors to Australia.

作者信息

Koon William A, Brander Robert W, Lawes Jasmin C, Peden Amy E

机构信息

School of Biological Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.

Beach Safety Research Group, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.

出版信息

Public Health Pract (Oxf). 2025 May 10;9:100613. doi: 10.1016/j.puhip.2025.100613. eCollection 2025 Jun.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

International visitors are a high-risk group for drowning and other fatalities at Australian coastal locations due to lower visitation and familiarity than the resident population. This review of pre-COVID-19 (2005-2019) Australian international visitor coastal fatalities aimed to assess changes in mortality rates and evaluate differences between international visitor and resident death profiles to inform safety measures.

STUDY DESIGN

Descriptive, retrospective epidemiological analysis.

METHODS

Analysis of unintentional coastal fatalities among international visitors to Australia from 2005 to 2019 was conducted using coronial data for fatalities and short-term visitor arrival data. Descriptive analysis comprised demographic, and incident-based variables, while cumulative (2005-2019) and annual fatality rates and 95 % confidence intervals per 100,000 short-term arrivals were calculated. Length of stay was incorporated into the risk measurement per 100,000 visitor-years. Joinpoint regression analysed trends in annual visitor coastal fatality rates.

RESULTS

Among coastal deaths 62 % were due to drowning; 12.8 % were international visitors; 7.83 residents died for each visitor fatality with an annual average of 22.5 visitor deaths. The cumulative visitor coastal fatality rate was 0.37 deaths per 100,000 international arrivals (95 %CI: 0.33-0.42), which decreased at a statistically significant level by an annual average of 5.8 % (95 %CI: 9.5 % to -1.9 %; p = 0.007) from 2005 to 2019. Visitors record an exposure-adjusted coastal fatality rate of 6.0/100,000 visitor-years. Visitor coastal deaths occurred in higher proportions in Queensland, at offshore locations, in more remote areas, while snorkelling, and during organised activities.

CONCLUSIONS

Sustained efforts will require focus on high-risk visitor groups by diverse sectors including tourism, government, and water safety practitioners.

摘要

目标

由于国际游客到澳大利亚沿海地区的访问量和熟悉程度低于当地居民,他们是在澳大利亚沿海地区溺水及遭遇其他死亡事故的高风险群体。本项针对新冠疫情前(2005 - 2019年)澳大利亚国际游客沿海死亡事故的综述旨在评估死亡率的变化,并评估国际游客与当地居民死亡情况的差异,以为安全措施提供参考。

研究设计

描述性回顾性流行病学分析。

方法

利用死因裁判数据和短期游客抵达数据,对2005年至2019年期间到澳大利亚的国际游客沿海意外死亡事故进行分析。描述性分析包括人口统计学和基于事件的变量,同时计算了累积(2005 - 2019年)和年度死亡率以及每10万短期游客的95%置信区间。停留时间纳入每10万游客年的风险测量中。连接点回归分析了年度游客沿海死亡率的趋势。

结果

在沿海死亡事故中,62%是溺水所致;12.8%是国际游客;每有一名游客死亡,就有7.83名当地居民死亡,每年平均有22.5名游客死亡。国际游客沿海累计死亡率为每10万国际游客中有0.37人死亡(95%置信区间:0.33 - 0.42),从2005年到2019年,以每年平均5.8%的幅度在统计学显著水平上下降(95%置信区间:9.5%至 -1.9%;p = 0.007)。游客经暴露调整后的沿海死亡率为每10万游客年6.0人。游客沿海死亡事故在昆士兰州、近海地区、更偏远地区、进行浮潜时以及有组织活动期间的发生比例更高。

结论

包括旅游业、政府和水上安全从业者在内的多个部门需要持续努力,重点关注高风险游客群体。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/49e5/12143756/27b2a8685cf4/gr1.jpg

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