Adhikari Samir Kumar, Ranabhat Kamal, Bhattarai Suraj, Saud Bhuvan, Paudel Kiran, Bhandari Rabindra, Khanal Pratik, Keene Claire Marriott, Khanal Vishnu
Health Emergency Operation Center Ministry of Health and Population, Ramshah Path Kathmandu Nepal.
Institute of Medicine Tribhuvan University Kathmandu Nepal.
Public Health Chall. 2023 Oct 4;2(4):e127. doi: 10.1002/puh2.127. eCollection 2023 Dec.
INTRODUCTION: COVID-19 had caused nearly 12,000 deaths in Nepal by March 2023. In this study, we compare COVID-19-associated mortality in the first (September 15 to November 30, 2020) and second (April 15 to June 30, 2021) waves of the pandemic in Nepal and investigate the associated epidemiological factors. METHODS: We disaggregated the COVID-19-related deaths between the first and second waves of the pandemic using the national COVID-19 database and evaluated the association of independent variables with the deaths in the first versus second waves. RESULTS: Out of 8133 deaths, 25% died in the first wave and 75% in the second. Overall, 33.5% of the deceased were female, and 52% of the deaths were in those 60 years or older. A vast majority (92%) of deaths occurred in hospitals. Geographically, the middle "Hill" region (58.3%) witnessed the most significant number of deaths. About two thirds (64%) had at least one comorbid condition. Multivariable logistic regression showed a difference in the reported deaths by province (state) and geography (ecological region) between the first and second waves. Those in the age groups "19-39 years" and "40-59 years" were more likely to die in the second wave than in the first wave compared to the younger age group. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, deaths were concentrated among older age groups, males, in the Hill regions, in the western provinces, and those with comorbidities. Therefore, the country must focus on these areas to ensure an efficient and effective pandemic response in the future.
引言:截至2023年3月,新冠疫情在尼泊尔已造成近12000人死亡。在本研究中,我们比较了尼泊尔疫情第一波(2020年9月15日至11月30日)和第二波(2021年4月15日至6月30日)期间与新冠相关的死亡率,并调查相关的流行病学因素。 方法:我们利用国家新冠数据库对疫情第一波和第二波期间与新冠相关的死亡病例进行分类,并评估自变量与第一波和第二波死亡病例之间的关联。 结果:在8133例死亡病例中,25%死于第一波,75%死于第二波。总体而言,33.5%的死者为女性,52%的死亡病例发生在60岁及以上人群中。绝大多数(92%)的死亡发生在医院。在地理上,中部“山区”地区(58.3%)的死亡人数最多。约三分之二(64%)的死者至少有一种合并症。多变量逻辑回归显示,第一波和第二波之间,不同省份(邦)和地理区域(生态区)报告的死亡病例存在差异。与较年轻年龄组相比,“19 - 39岁”和“40 - 59岁”年龄组的人群在第二波中死亡的可能性比第一波更大。 结论:总体而言,死亡集中在老年人群、男性、山区、西部省份以及患有合并症的人群中。因此,该国必须关注这些领域,以确保未来能有效应对疫情。
Public Health Chall. 2023-10-4
Kathmandu Univ Med J (KUMJ).
Front Public Health. 2022
Bioengineering (Basel). 2022-10-20
Epidemics. 2022-12
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022-2-24