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尼泊尔新冠肺炎死亡病例的流行病学:基于国家卫生应急行动中心数据的分析

Epidemiology of COVID-19 mortality in Nepal: An analysis of the National Health Emergency Operation Center data.

作者信息

Adhikari Samir Kumar, Ranabhat Kamal, Bhattarai Suraj, Saud Bhuvan, Paudel Kiran, Bhandari Rabindra, Khanal Pratik, Keene Claire Marriott, Khanal Vishnu

机构信息

Health Emergency Operation Center Ministry of Health and Population, Ramshah Path Kathmandu Nepal.

Institute of Medicine Tribhuvan University Kathmandu Nepal.

出版信息

Public Health Chall. 2023 Oct 4;2(4):e127. doi: 10.1002/puh2.127. eCollection 2023 Dec.


DOI:10.1002/puh2.127
PMID:40496798
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12039602/
Abstract

INTRODUCTION: COVID-19 had caused nearly 12,000 deaths in Nepal by March 2023. In this study, we compare COVID-19-associated mortality in the first (September 15 to November 30, 2020) and second (April 15 to June 30, 2021) waves of the pandemic in Nepal and investigate the associated epidemiological factors. METHODS: We disaggregated the COVID-19-related deaths between the first and second waves of the pandemic using the national COVID-19 database and evaluated the association of independent variables with the deaths in the first versus second waves. RESULTS: Out of 8133 deaths, 25% died in the first wave and 75% in the second. Overall, 33.5% of the deceased were female, and 52% of the deaths were in those 60 years or older. A vast majority (92%) of deaths occurred in hospitals. Geographically, the middle "Hill" region (58.3%) witnessed the most significant number of deaths. About two thirds (64%) had at least one comorbid condition. Multivariable logistic regression showed a difference in the reported deaths by province (state) and geography (ecological region) between the first and second waves. Those in the age groups "19-39 years" and "40-59 years" were more likely to die in the second wave than in the first wave compared to the younger age group. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, deaths were concentrated among older age groups, males, in the Hill regions, in the western provinces, and those with comorbidities. Therefore, the country must focus on these areas to ensure an efficient and effective pandemic response in the future.

摘要

引言:截至2023年3月,新冠疫情在尼泊尔已造成近12000人死亡。在本研究中,我们比较了尼泊尔疫情第一波(2020年9月15日至11月30日)和第二波(2021年4月15日至6月30日)期间与新冠相关的死亡率,并调查相关的流行病学因素。 方法:我们利用国家新冠数据库对疫情第一波和第二波期间与新冠相关的死亡病例进行分类,并评估自变量与第一波和第二波死亡病例之间的关联。 结果:在8133例死亡病例中,25%死于第一波,75%死于第二波。总体而言,33.5%的死者为女性,52%的死亡病例发生在60岁及以上人群中。绝大多数(92%)的死亡发生在医院。在地理上,中部“山区”地区(58.3%)的死亡人数最多。约三分之二(64%)的死者至少有一种合并症。多变量逻辑回归显示,第一波和第二波之间,不同省份(邦)和地理区域(生态区)报告的死亡病例存在差异。与较年轻年龄组相比,“19 - 39岁”和“40 - 59岁”年龄组的人群在第二波中死亡的可能性比第一波更大。 结论:总体而言,死亡集中在老年人群、男性、山区、西部省份以及患有合并症的人群中。因此,该国必须关注这些领域,以确保未来能有效应对疫情。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ad22/12039602/b1c195d4869e/PUH2-2-e127-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ad22/12039602/d2bbf96a5f2b/PUH2-2-e127-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ad22/12039602/b1c195d4869e/PUH2-2-e127-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ad22/12039602/d2bbf96a5f2b/PUH2-2-e127-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ad22/12039602/b1c195d4869e/PUH2-2-e127-g002.jpg

相似文献

[1]
Epidemiology of COVID-19 mortality in Nepal: An analysis of the National Health Emergency Operation Center data.

Public Health Chall. 2023-10-4

[2]
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J Assoc Physicians India. 2022-6

[3]
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Cureus. 2024-1-12

[4]
Epidemiology of 4963 deaths associated with COVID-19 during three pandemic waves in a Latin American city with a high mortality rate, 2020-2021.

Trop Med Int Health. 2022-2

[5]
Difference in mortality among individuals admitted to hospital with COVID-19 during the first and second waves in South Africa: a cohort study.

Lancet Glob Health. 2021-9

[6]
Age and Gender Differences in COVID 19 Morbidity and Mortality in Nepal.

Kathmandu Univ Med J (KUMJ).

[7]
Global burden of 288 causes of death and life expectancy decomposition in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

Lancet. 2024-5-18

[8]
Epidemiology of the first and second waves of COVID-19 pandemic in Djibouti and the vaccination strategy developed for the response.

BMJ Glob Health. 2022-6

[9]
Comparative Study Between the First and Second Wave of COVID-19 Deaths in India: A Single Center Study.

Cureus. 2023-4-12

[10]
Sex differences in a cohort of COVID-19 Italian patients hospitalized during the first and second pandemic waves.

Biol Sex Differ. 2021-8-11

本文引用的文献

[1]
Comparative Study Between the First and Second Wave of COVID-19 Deaths in India: A Single Center Study.

Cureus. 2023-4-12

[2]
Isolation and Intensive Care (ICU) Service, Surge Capacity and Pandemic Training in Government Designated COVID-19 Clinics and Hospitals of Nepal.

Kathmandu Univ Med J (KUMJ). 2022

[3]
Impact of comorbidity on patients with COVID-19 in India: A nationwide analysis.

Front Public Health. 2022

[4]
Risk Factors of Severe COVID-19: A Review of Host, Viral and Environmental Factors.

Viruses. 2023-1-7

[5]
Risk Factors Associated with Mortality in Hospitalized Patients with COVID-19 during the Omicron Wave in Brazil.

Bioengineering (Basel). 2022-10-20

[6]
Insight into Delta variant dominated second wave of COVID-19 in Nepal.

Epidemics. 2022-12

[7]
How an Outbreak of COVID-19 Circulated Widely in Nepal: A Chronological Analysis of the National Response to an Unprecedented Pandemic.

Life (Basel). 2022-7-20

[8]
Assessing the burden of COVID-19 in developing countries: systematic review, meta-analysis and public policy implications.

BMJ Glob Health. 2022-5

[9]
District-Level Risk Factors for COVID-19 Incidence and Mortality in Nepal.

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022-2-24

[10]
Global data analysis and risk factors associated with morbidity and mortality of COVID-19.

Gene Rep. 2022-3

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