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短期政策试点视角下长期护理保险的制度效应与群体受益公平性

The system effect and group benefit equity of long-term care insurance from the perspective of short-term policy pilot.

作者信息

He Wei, Liu Huan

机构信息

School of Tourism Management, Wuhan Business University, Wu Han, China.

School of Social Science, Soochow University, Suzhou, China.

出版信息

Front Public Health. 2025 May 30;13:1580349. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2025.1580349. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

METHODS

This study focuses on the long-term care insurance (LTCI) policy pilot, using the CHARLS database to continuously track survey data. It constructs a difference in-difference model based on city, time, coverage, and beneficiaries to accurately identify policy coverage and empirically examine the institutional effect of the long-term care insurance policy pilot and the fairness of group benefits.

RESULTS

The results indicate that the policy pilot has a significant positive impact on the overall medical consumption of disabled older adults, with impacts on monthly outpatient consumption, annual hospitalization consumption, annual hospitalization times, and last hospitalization days of 0.7064, 0.4142, 0.0887, and 1.5607, respectively. In addition, the LTCI policy pilot significantly and positively affected disability-related health indicators such as individual self-assessment health, ADL disability, and the number of serious diseases, with effect sizes of 0.8677, 1.0854, and 0.6668, respectively.

DISCUSSION

The results regarding group benefit equity show that the LTCI policy pilot can improve the equity of medical consumption and disability-related health among groups; however, over time, it may exacerbate the inequality of medical consumption and disability-related health among disabled older adults in the treatment group. Based on this, the study finds that the LTCI policy pilot has effects on medical consumption and disability-related health for disabled older adults, primarily driven by the moral hazard associated with the assessed individuals obtaining LTCI treatment due to the short-term policy pilot.

摘要

方法

本研究聚焦于长期护理保险(LTCI)政策试点,利用中国健康与养老追踪调查(CHARLS)数据库持续追踪调查数据。基于城市、时间、覆盖范围和受益人群构建双重差分模型,以准确识别政策覆盖范围,并实证检验长期护理保险政策试点的制度效应和群体受益的公平性。

结果

结果表明,该政策试点对残疾老年人的总体医疗消费有显著的正向影响,对月门诊消费、年住院消费、年住院次数和末次住院天数的影响分别为0.7064、0.4142、0.0887和1.5607。此外,长期护理保险政策试点对个体自我评估健康、日常生活活动(ADL)残疾和重病数量等与残疾相关的健康指标有显著的正向影响,效应量分别为0.8677、1.0854和0.6668。

讨论

关于群体受益公平性的结果表明,长期护理保险政策试点可以提高群体间医疗消费和与残疾相关健康的公平性;然而,随着时间的推移,它可能会加剧治疗组中残疾老年人之间医疗消费和与残疾相关健康的不平等。基于此,研究发现长期护理保险政策试点对残疾老年人的医疗消费和与残疾相关健康有影响,主要是由短期政策试点中被评估个体获得长期护理保险待遇所带来的道德风险驱动的。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5529/12162715/b2449dce3608/fpubh-13-1580349-g001.jpg

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