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揭开黑箱之谜:机器学习提升肝内胆管癌的术前预测能力

Illuminating the black box: Machine learning enhances preoperative prediction in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.

作者信息

Gadour Eyad, AlQahtani Mohammed S

机构信息

Multiorgan Transplant Centre of Excellence, Liver Transplantation Unit, King Fahad Specialist Hospital, Dammam 32253, Saudi Arabia.

Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Zamzam University College, Khartoum North 11113, Khartoum, Sudan.

出版信息

World J Gastroenterol. 2025 May 7;31(17):106592. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v31.i17.106592.

Abstract

The study by Huang , published in the , advances intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) management by developing a machine-learning model to predict textbook outcomes (TO) based on preoperative factors. By analyzing data from 376 patients across four Chinese medical centers, the researchers identified key variables influencing TO, including Child-Pugh classification, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group score, hepatitis B status, and tumor size. The model, created using logistic regression and the extreme gradient boosting algorithm, demonstrated high predictive accuracy, with area under the curve values of 0.8825 for internal validation and 0.8346 for external validation. The integration of the Shapley additive explanation technique enhances the interpretability of the model, which is crucial for clinical decision-making. This research highlights the potential of machine learning to improve surgical planning and patient outcomes in ICC, opening possibilities for personalized treatment approaches based on individual patient characteristics and risk factors.

摘要

黄的这项发表于[具体刊物]的研究,通过开发一种基于术前因素预测教科书式预后(TO)的机器学习模型,推动了肝内胆管癌(ICC)的治疗。通过分析来自四个中国医疗中心的376例患者的数据,研究人员确定了影响TO的关键变量,包括Child-Pugh分级(肝功能分级)、东部肿瘤协作组(ECOG)评分、乙肝状态和肿瘤大小。该模型使用逻辑回归和极端梯度提升算法创建,显示出较高的预测准确性,内部验证的曲线下面积值为0.8825,外部验证的曲线下面积值为0.8346。Shapley加性解释技术的整合增强了模型的可解释性,这对临床决策至关重要。这项研究突出了机器学习在改善ICC手术规划和患者预后方面的潜力,为基于个体患者特征和风险因素的个性化治疗方法开辟了可能性。

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