Xia Kunjian, Wang Lin, Tang Na
Department of General Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Jiujiang College, 1699 Shili Avenue, Jiujiang, 332005, China.
Department of General Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, 1 minde raod, Nanchang, 330006, China.
Updates Surg. 2025 Jun 23. doi: 10.1007/s13304-025-02298-8.
For locally advanced rectal cancer and potentially resectable T4bM0 colon cancer, neoadjuvant therapy improves remission rates and resectability. However, conventional TNM staging often fails to predict prognosis in ypIII CRC patient's post-neoadjuvant therapy due to lymph node regression (particularly when < 12 nodes are detected). We evaluated the prognostic value of positive lymph node ratio (LNR) in this cohort.Retrospective analysis of 489 ypIII CRC patients treated with neoadjuvant therapy and radical surgery (2008-2018). Optimal LNR cutoff for disease-free survival (DFS) was determined using R software. Patients were stratified into low/high-LNR groups. Clinicopathological characteristics and DFS were compared. A COX regression-based nomogram incorporating LNR was developed and externally validated against TNM staging via ROC analysis.LNR optimal threshold was 0.29 (low: ≤ 0.29, n = 317; high: > 0.29, n = 172). High LNR predicted shorter DFS (HR = 2.103, 95% CI 1.582-2.796, P < 0.0001) and was an independent prognostic factor (multivariate HR = 1.825, 95% CI 1.391-2.394, P < 0.001). The LNR-integrated nomogram outperformed TNM staging in predicting DFS (AUC: 0.852 versus 0.781, P < 0.05).LNR is an independent prognostic factor for ypIII CRC. Supplementing TNM staging with LNR enhances prognostic accuracy.
对于局部晚期直肠癌和潜在可切除的T4bM0结肠癌,新辅助治疗可提高缓解率和可切除性。然而,由于淋巴结消退(特别是当检测到的淋巴结<12个时),传统的TNM分期往往无法预测新辅助治疗后ypIII期结直肠癌患者的预后。我们评估了该队列中阳性淋巴结比率(LNR)的预后价值。
对489例接受新辅助治疗和根治性手术的ypIII期结直肠癌患者(2008 - 2018年)进行回顾性分析。使用R软件确定无病生存期(DFS)的最佳LNR临界值。将患者分为低/高LNR组。比较临床病理特征和DFS。开发了一种基于COX回归并纳入LNR的列线图,并通过ROC分析对TNM分期进行外部验证。
LNR最佳阈值为0.29(低:≤0.29,n = 317;高:>0.29,n = 172)。高LNR预测DFS较短(HR = 2.103,95%CI 1.582 - 2.796,P < 0.0001),并且是一个独立的预后因素(多变量HR = 1.825,95%CI 1.391 - 2.394,P < 0.001)。在预测DFS方面,纳入LNR的列线图优于TNM分期(AUC:0.852对0.781,P < 0.05)。
LNR是ypIII期结直肠癌的独立预后因素。用LNR补充TNM分期可提高预后准确性。