Tripp Lianne, Sawchuk Larry A, Farrugia Charles J
Department of Anthropology, Trent University, Peterborough, ON K9L 1Z8, Canada.
Department of Anthropology, University of Toronto Scarborough, Toronto, ON M1C 1A4, Canada.
Trop Med Infect Dis. 2025 May 24;10(6):149. doi: 10.3390/tropicalmed10060149.
Studies have indicated that there was a disease interaction of pandemic influenza with respiratory tuberculosis (TB) in Malta, which could explain the heightened mortality recorded in young adults. We revisit the 1918/19 influenza and TB syndemic potential on the island of Malta. Borrowing from crisis studies that explore the harvesting effect, we used the method of assessing changes in pre-pandemic, pandemic, fallow, and post-pandemic mortality/life expectancy to reveal the syndemic experience. Pre-pandemic (1914-1917) life expectancy at birth was significantly higher, at 37.91 years, than during the pandemic (1918), when life expectancy dropped to 33.26 years (Z = 10.56, < 0.0001). Post-pandemic (1919) life expectancy rose to 43.49 years, which was an even longer life expectancy than pre-pandemic (Z = 17.61, < 0.0001). There were significant changes in TB mortality death rates during the four periods in those of reproductive age. Augmenting our framework for studies of syndemics involving short-term events, we proposed the identification of contributing, driving, and limiting factors. Underlying living conditions contributed to the syndemic. The exacerbation of housing conditions, the economy associated with the First World War, and meteorological measures-temperature, relative humidity, and rainfall-were driving factors. The early implementation of mitigation strategies, such as restrictions on mass gatherings, were limiting factors of the syndemic.
研究表明,在马耳他,大流行性流感与呼吸道结核病之间存在疾病相互作用,这可以解释在年轻人中记录到的死亡率上升情况。我们重新审视了1918年马耳他岛上流感和结核病并发流行的可能性。借鉴探索收获效应的危机研究,我们采用评估大流行前、大流行期间、间歇期和大流行后死亡率/预期寿命变化的方法来揭示并发流行情况。大流行前(1914 - 1917年)出生时的预期寿命显著更高,为37.91岁,高于大流行期间(1918年),当时预期寿命降至33.26岁(Z = 10.56,< 0.0001)。大流行后(1919年)预期寿命升至43.49岁,这比大流行前的预期寿命还要长(Z = 17.61,< 0.0001)。在这四个时期,育龄人群的结核病死亡率有显著变化。为了完善我们针对涉及短期事件的并发流行研究的框架,我们提出了识别促成因素、驱动因素和限制因素。基本生活条件促成了并发流行。住房条件的恶化、与第一次世界大战相关的经济状况以及气象因素——温度、相对湿度和降雨量——是驱动因素。早期实施的缓解策略,如限制大规模集会,是并发流行的限制因素。