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美国地方官员对选举的信心:社会信任、党派性和政治抱负的影响。

Confidence in elections among U.S. local officials: Effects of social trust, partisanship and political ambition.

作者信息

Plutzer Eric, Adler Gary, Sager Rebecca, Coley Jonathan S, Mayrl Damon

机构信息

Department of Political Science, Penn State University, University Park, Pennsylvania, United States of America.

Department of Sociology, Penn State University, University Park, Pennsylvania, United States of America.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2025 Jun 25;20(6):e0324794. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0324794. eCollection 2025.

DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0324794
PMID:40560875
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12194158/
Abstract

The U.S. public's confidence in elections is intensively studied in the last decade but little is known about election confidence among locally elected officials, whose roles and community status may influence public opinion. Using a nationally representative survey of local election officials, we compare election confidence among local elected officials with that of the general public. Local elected officials are more likely to trust both local and national elections. We theorize factors that affect local officials' trust in elections, including partisan context, state leadership election denial levels, and political ambition. We show how social trust, partisan identity, and ambition significantly influence local officials' confidence that local and national results reflect the intention of voters. We conclude by showing how the relative lack of intensive partisan polarization among local elected officials is especially important at keeping election distrust low among local officials.

摘要

在过去十年里,美国公众对选举的信心得到了深入研究,但对于地方民选官员的选举信心却知之甚少,而这些官员的角色和社区地位可能会影响公众舆论。通过对地方选举官员进行全国代表性调查,我们将地方民选官员的选举信心与普通公众的选举信心进行了比较。地方民选官员更有可能信任地方和全国选举。我们对影响地方官员对选举信任的因素进行了理论分析,包括党派背景、州领导对选举结果的否认程度以及政治抱负。我们展示了社会信任、党派身份和抱负如何显著影响地方官员对地方和全国选举结果反映选民意愿的信心。我们通过说明地方民选官员之间相对缺乏强烈的党派两极分化在保持地方官员对选举的低不信任度方面如何特别重要来得出结论。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c44a/12194158/9aafd4aad4fd/pone.0324794.g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c44a/12194158/3ee07f5a8ba5/pone.0324794.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c44a/12194158/0b7339102201/pone.0324794.g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c44a/12194158/9aafd4aad4fd/pone.0324794.g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c44a/12194158/3ee07f5a8ba5/pone.0324794.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c44a/12194158/0b7339102201/pone.0324794.g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c44a/12194158/9aafd4aad4fd/pone.0324794.g003.jpg

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本文引用的文献

1
When election expectations fail: Polarized perceptions of election legitimacy increase with accumulating evidence of election outcomes and with polarized media.当选举期望落空时:随着选举结果证据的积累和极化媒体的出现,对选举合法性的两极化看法会增加。
PLoS One. 2021 Dec 1;16(12):e0259473. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0259473. eCollection 2021.
2
Experiences matter: A longitudinal study of individual-level sources of declining social trust in the United States.经验很重要:一项关于美国社会信任度下降的个体层面根源的纵向研究。
Soc Sci Res. 2021 Mar;95:102537. doi: 10.1016/j.ssresearch.2021.102537. Epub 2021 Feb 9.
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Partisan strength, political trust and generalized trust in the United States: An analysis of the General Social Survey, 1972-2014.
美国的党派力量、政治信任与普遍信任:对1972 - 2014年综合社会调查的分析
Soc Sci Res. 2017 Nov;68:132-146. doi: 10.1016/j.ssresearch.2017.08.005. Epub 2017 Aug 9.