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C反应蛋白与白蛋白比值可预测老年住院患者的早期死亡率,与入院诊断无关。

C-Reactive Protein to Albumin Ratio Predicts Early Mortality in Hospitalized Older Patients, Independent of the Admission Diagnosis.

作者信息

Capurso Cristiano, Lo Buglio Aurelio, Bellanti Francesco, Serviddio Gaetano

机构信息

Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Foggia, Viale Luigi Pinto 1, 71122 Foggia, Italy.

出版信息

Nutrients. 2025 Jun 12;17(12):1984. doi: 10.3390/nu17121984.

Abstract

Malnutrition and systemic inflammation are prevalent among older hospitalized patients and are associated with increased morbidity and mortality. The C-reactive protein to albumin (CRP/Alb) ratio reflects inflammatory and nutritional status and may serve as a useful prognostic biomarker. To evaluate the prognostic value of the CRP/Alb ratio in predicting early in-hospital mortality in a large cohort of elderly patients, independent of the admission diagnosis. This retrospective observational study examined the clinical data and serum values of serum C-reactive protein (CRP), albumin, and the CRP/Alb ratio, detected at the time of admission, in a cohort of 2780 patients over sixty-five admitted to the Internal Medicine and Aging Department of the "Policlinico Riuniti" University Hospital Trust in Foggia, between 2019 and 2024. The predictive power of the CRP/Alb ratio for 7- and 30-day hospital mortality was evaluated by ROC curve analysis, Cox regression, and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. In total, 444 patients died (16%) during their in-hospital stay. The CRP/Alb ratio was significantly higher among deceased subjects ( < 0.001) than in non-deceased patients. The CRP/Alb ratio was strongly associated with mortality, particularly during the first 7 days from admission (AUC = 0.888). A CRP/Alb ratio >8 was an independent and significant predictor of mortality within 30 days (HR = 3.82, 95% CI: 2.91-5.01), but particularly within the first 7 days from hospitalization (HR = 10.17, 95% CI: 6.05-17.08). Similar results were observed among re-hospitalized patients. The CRP/Alb ratio is a significant and independent predictor of early in-hospital mortality in elderly patients, regardless of admission diagnosis. A threshold value >8 identifies individuals at high risk, particularly within the first week of hospitalization. This simple, cost-effective biomarker may support early risk stratification and guide targeted interventions in geriatric care.

摘要

营养不良和全身炎症在老年住院患者中普遍存在,且与发病率和死亡率增加相关。C反应蛋白与白蛋白(CRP/Alb)比值反映炎症和营养状况,可能是一种有用的预后生物标志物。为了评估CRP/Alb比值在预测一大群老年患者早期院内死亡率方面的预后价值,且不受入院诊断的影响。这项回顾性观察性研究检查了2019年至2024年期间入住福贾“Policlinico Riuniti”大学医院信托内科和老年病科的2780名65岁以上患者队列入院时检测的血清C反应蛋白(CRP)、白蛋白和CRP/Alb比值的临床数据及血清值。通过ROC曲线分析、Cox回归和Kaplan-Meier生存分析评估CRP/Alb比值对7天和30天院内死亡率的预测能力。共有444名患者(16%)在住院期间死亡。死亡患者的CRP/Alb比值显著高于未死亡患者(<0.001)。CRP/Alb比值与死亡率密切相关,尤其是在入院后的前7天(AUC = 0.888)。CRP/Alb比值>8是30天内死亡率的独立且显著预测因素(HR = 3.82,95%CI:2.91 - 5.01),但在住院后的前7天尤为明显(HR = 10.17,95%CI:6.05 - 17.08)。再次住院的患者中也观察到了类似结果。CRP/Alb比值是老年患者早期院内死亡率的显著且独立预测因素,无论入院诊断如何。阈值>8可识别高危个体,尤其是在住院的第一周内。这种简单、经济有效的生物标志物可支持早期风险分层并指导老年护理中的针对性干预。

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