Lei Tianyang, Chen Xiujing, Ma Shijun, Jing Liang, Guan Dabo
Department of Earth System Sciences, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100080, China.
The Bartlett School of Sustainable Construction, University College London, London WC1E 6BT, UK.
Natl Sci Rev. 2025 May 19;12(7):nwaf184. doi: 10.1093/nsr/nwaf184. eCollection 2025 Jul.
Methane emissions from abandoned oil and gas (AOG) wells are significant but poorly quantified, contributing to uncertainties in global greenhouse gas inventories and hindering progress toward net-zero emission targets. In fact, the actual level of methane emissions from AOG wells worldwide and the geological characteristics of the wells remain poorly understood. Here, we develop a resource-type-specific, comprehensive inventory of methane emissions from 4.5 million AOG wells across 127 countries as of 2022, including detailed well-level data for 420 000 wells (9% of the total). We estimate global methane emissions from AOG wells at 0.4 Mt in 2022. Historical cumulative emissions are estimated at 11.2-12.6 Mt, of which 90% originate from unplugged wells. Over the period 2023-50, methane emissions from the AOG wells included in our inventory are projected to be 9.9 Mt in the absence of any decarbonization intervention (slightly higher than Spain's annual greenhouse gas emissions in 2019). Plugging abandoned wells is critical to reducing emissions, with potential mitigation of 53%-61% over 2023-50. High-emitting wells-particularly those tied to major oil and gas producers-should be prioritized. This study provides refined estimates of methane emissions and possible mitigation pathways for global AOG wells at well/country levels that have been overlooked in global greenhouse gas emissions inventories.
废弃油气井的甲烷排放十分可观,但量化程度很低,这导致全球温室气体清单存在不确定性,并阻碍了实现净零排放目标的进程。事实上,全球废弃油气井的实际甲烷排放水平以及这些井的地质特征仍鲜为人知。在此,我们编制了截至2022年127个国家450万口废弃油气井的特定资源类型的甲烷排放综合清单,其中包括42万口井(占总数的9%)的详细单井数据。我们估计2022年废弃油气井的全球甲烷排放量为0.4公吨。历史累计排放量估计为11.2 - 12.6公吨,其中90%来自未封堵的井。在2023年至2050年期间,如果没有任何脱碳干预措施,我们清单中的废弃油气井的甲烷排放量预计为9.9公吨(略高于西班牙2019年的年度温室气体排放量)。封堵废弃井对于减少排放至关重要,在2023年至2050年期间有可能减排53% - 61%。应优先处理高排放井,特别是那些与主要油气生产国相关的井。这项研究提供了全球废弃油气井在单井/国家层面的甲烷排放精细估计以及可能的减排途径,而这些在全球温室气体排放清单中一直被忽视。