Haile Demewoz, Harding Kassandra L, McLaughlin Susan A, Ashbaugh Charlie, Garcia Vanessa, Gilbertson Nora M, Kifle Hewan, Parent Marie C, Sorensen Reed J D, Hay Simon I, Aravkin Aleksandr Y, Zheng Peng, Stanaway Jeffrey D, Murray Christopher J L, Brauer Michael
Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Department of Health Metrics Sciences, School of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Nat Med. 2025 Jun 30. doi: 10.1038/s41591-025-03775-8.
Previous research suggests detrimental health effects associated with consuming processed foods, including processed meats, sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) and trans fatty acids (TFAs). However, systematic characterization of the dose-response relationships between these foods and health outcomes is limited. Here, using Burden of Proof meta-regression methods, we evaluated the associations between processed meat, SSBs and TFAs and three chronic diseases: type 2 diabetes, ischemic heart disease (IHD) and colorectal cancer. We conservatively estimated that-relative to zero consumption-consuming processed meat (at 0.6-57 g d) was associated with at least an 11% average increase in type 2 diabetes risk and a 7% (at 0.78-55 g d) increase in colorectal cancer risk. SSB intake (at 1.5-390 g d) was associated with at least an 8% average increase in type 2 diabetes risk and a 2% (at 0-365 g d) increase in IHD risk. TFA consumption (at 0.25-2.56% of daily energy intake) was associated with at least a 3% average increase in IHD risk. These associations each received two-star ratings reflecting weak relationships or inconsistent input evidence, highlighting both the need for further research and-given the high burden of these chronic diseases-the merit of continuing to recommend limiting consumption of these foods.
先前的研究表明,食用加工食品会对健康产生有害影响,这些加工食品包括加工肉类、含糖饮料(SSB)和反式脂肪酸(TFA)。然而,这些食品与健康结果之间剂量反应关系的系统特征尚不明确。在此,我们使用“举证责任”元回归方法,评估了加工肉类、SSB和TFA与三种慢性病之间的关联:2型糖尿病、缺血性心脏病(IHD)和结直肠癌。我们保守估计,相对于零摄入量,食用加工肉类(每日0.6 - 57克)与2型糖尿病风险平均至少增加11%以及结直肠癌风险增加7%(每日0.78 - 55克)相关。摄入SSB(每日1.5 - 390克)与2型糖尿病风险平均至少增加8%以及IHD风险增加2%(每日0 - 365克)相关。摄入TFA(占每日能量摄入量的0.25 - 2.56%)与IHD风险平均至少增加3%相关。这些关联均获得两星评级,反映出关系较弱或输入证据不一致,这既凸显了进一步研究的必要性,也鉴于这些慢性病的高负担,表明继续建议限制食用这些食品的益处。