[1990年至2021年中国职业性多环芳烃暴露相关肺癌潜在疾病负担分析]

[Analysis of the potential disease burden of occupational polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons exposure-associated lung cancer in China from 1990 to 2021].

作者信息

Zhao J Y, Liu Y, Shang N

机构信息

The First Clinical Medical College of Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan 030001.

School of Pharmacy, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan 030001.

出版信息

Zhonghua Lao Dong Wei Sheng Zhi Ye Bing Za Zhi. 2025 Jun 20;43(6):430-434. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121094-20240912-00428.

Abstract

To assess the disease burden of lung cancer associated with occupational exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in China from 1990 to 2021 using the 2021 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) data. In July 2024, data on occupational PAHs exposure-associated lung cancer from 1990 to 2021 were extracted from the GBD database, including mortality rates, age-standardized mortality rates, number of deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates, age-standardized DALYs rates, and number of DALYs for different genders and ages. Descriptive statistics were used to analyze trends in lung cancer mortality rates, age-standardized mortality rates, DALYs rates, and age-standardized DALYs rates over different years, genders, and ages. Joinpoint regression models were used to calculate the annual percent change (APC) and average annual percent change (AAPC), and to identify change points and trends in different periods within the data. From 1990 to 2021, the mortality rate of lung cancer associated with occupational PAHs exposure increased from 0.085 per 100000 to 0.259 per 100000, and the age-standardized mortality rate increased from 0.107 per 100000 to 0.162 per 100000. The DALYs rate increased from 2.746 per 100000 to 7.389 per 100000, and the age-standardized DALYs rate increased from 3.330 per 100000 to 4.679 per 100000. The number of lung cancer deaths and DALYs both peaked in the 65-69 age group. Joinpoint regression analysis showed significant upward trends in mortality, age-standardized mortality, DALYs rate, and age-standardized DALYs rate from 1990 to 2021, with AAPCs of 3.655%, 1.382%, 3.256%, and 1.108%, respectively (all <0.001). From 2016 to 2021, both the mortality rate and age-standardized mortality rate increased, with APCs of 4.163% and 1.735%, respectively. From 2015 to 2021, the DALYs rate increased (APC: 3.137%), and from 2016 to 2021, the age-standardized DALYs rate also rose (APC: 1.578%). For females, both mortality and DALYs rates increased from 2015 to 2021 (APCs: 6.269% and 5.426%, respectively). Among males, the mortality rate increased from 2018 to 2021 (APC: 3.477%) . From 1990 to 2021, the disease burden of lung cancer related to occupational PAHs exposure in China has significantly increased, particularly among the elderly population. Public health policies should enhance screening and prevention efforts targeting the high-risk populations.

摘要

利用2021年全球疾病负担(GBD)数据评估1990年至2021年中国职业接触多环芳烃(PAHs)所致肺癌的疾病负担。2024年7月,从GBD数据库中提取了1990年至2021年职业性PAHs暴露相关肺癌的数据,包括死亡率、年龄标准化死亡率、死亡人数、伤残调整生命年(DALYs)率、年龄标准化DALYs率以及不同性别和年龄的DALYs数量。采用描述性统计分析不同年份、性别和年龄的肺癌死亡率、年龄标准化死亡率、DALYs率和年龄标准化DALYs率的变化趋势。使用Joinpoint回归模型计算年度百分比变化(APC)和平均年度百分比变化(AAPC),并确定数据中不同时期的变化点和趋势。1990年至2021年,职业性PAHs暴露相关肺癌的死亡率从每10万人0.085例增至每10万人0.259例,年龄标准化死亡率从每10万人0.107例增至每10万人0.162例。DALYs率从每10万人2.746例增至每10万人7.389例,年龄标准化DALYs率从每10万人3.330例增至每10万人4.679例。肺癌死亡人数和DALYs数量均在65 - 69岁年龄组达到峰值。Joinpoint回归分析显示,1990年至2021年死亡率、年龄标准化死亡率、DALYs率和年龄标准化DALYs率均呈显著上升趋势,AAPC分别为3.655%、1.382%、3.256%和1.108%(均<0.001)。2016年至2021年,死亡率和年龄标准化死亡率均上升,APC分别为4.163%和1.735%。2015年至2021年,DALYs率上升(APC:3.137%),2016年至2021年,年龄标准化DALYs率也上升(APC:1.578%)。女性方面,2015年至2021年死亡率和DALYs率均上升(APC分别为6.269%和5.426%)。男性中,2018年至2021年死亡率上升(APC:3.477%)。1990年至2021年,中国职业性PAHs暴露相关肺癌的疾病负担显著增加,尤其是在老年人群中。公共卫生政策应加强针对高危人群的筛查和预防工作。

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