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1990年至2021年东非地区疟疾发病率、患病率、死亡率及伤残调整生命年趋势:基于《2021年全球疾病负担研究》的系统分析

Trends of malaria incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years in Eastern Africa region from 1990 to 2021: a systematic analysis from Global Burden of Disease 2021 study.

作者信息

Zewale Taye Abuhay, Wondmagegn Leltework Yismaw, Getahun Habtamu Abebe, Tariku Mengistie Kassahun, Achamyeleh Anemaw Asrat, Asemahagn Mulusew Andualem, Enbiale Wondemagegn, Mersha Tesfaye B, Muluneh Essey Kebede, Temesgen Awoke Misganaw

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, College of Medicine and Health Science, Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia.

EpiGen Ethiopia, Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia.

出版信息

Malar J. 2025 Jul 1;24(1):207. doi: 10.1186/s12936-025-05364-z.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Malaria has long been a global health priority, particularly in Eastern Africa, where it remains the leading cause of child mortality and a significant barrier to socioeconomic development. Despite extensive control efforts, ineffective programs, limited treatment access, and low distribution of artemisinin-based combination therapy, contribute to the persistent challenges. Understanding malaria trends is crucial for evidence-based prevention and control strategies. The objective of the study was to estimate the trend in malaria incidence, prevalence, mortality, and Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs) in Eastern Africa Region, from 1990 to 2021.

METHODS

This study is part of the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study. The burden of malaria was assessed using age-standardized incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALY rates, stratified by age, sex, and countries. Annual and total percentage changes were calculated to evaluate Long-term trends. Line graphs were used to compare disease burden by age and gender over time.

RESULTS

Malaria incidence, mortality, prevalence and DALYs declined significantly in Eastern Africa region from 1990 to 2021. The rate of incidence, prevalence, mortality and DALYs of malaria in Eastern Africa decreased by 54%, 61.8%, 62%, and 63.8%, respectively. However malaria burden remained highest among children under five, with DALYs peaking in neonates aged 7-27 days. In 2021, South Sudan had the highest age-standardized incidence and prevalence rate whereas Uganda recorded the highest malaria mortality and DALY rate. The Comoros showed significant declined in malaria burden, whereas Ethiopia experienced an increases in all metrics from 1990 and 2021. Child underweight and stunting were the major risk factors for malaria-related DALYs and deaths in 2021.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite overall progress, malaria remains a major health threat in Eastern Africa nations, with the three leading countries in the region being South Sudan, Ethiopia and Uganda. The highest disease burden persists among neonates aged 7-27 days, underscoring the urgent need for targeted interventions.

摘要

背景

长期以来,疟疾一直是全球卫生工作的重点,尤其是在东非,疟疾仍是儿童死亡的主要原因,也是社会经济发展的重大障碍。尽管进行了广泛的防控努力,但项目效果不佳、治疗可及性有限以及青蒿素联合疗法的低覆盖率,都导致了持续存在的挑战。了解疟疾趋势对于基于证据的预防和控制策略至关重要。本研究的目的是估计1990年至2021年东非地区疟疾发病率、患病率、死亡率和伤残调整生命年(DALYs)的趋势。

方法

本研究是2021年全球疾病负担研究的一部分。使用年龄标准化发病率、患病率、死亡率和DALY率评估疟疾负担,按年龄、性别和国家分层。计算年度和总百分比变化以评估长期趋势。使用折线图比较不同时间按年龄和性别的疾病负担。

结果

1990年至2021年,东非地区疟疾发病率、死亡率、患病率和DALYs显著下降。东非地区疟疾的发病率、患病率、死亡率和DALYs分别下降了54%、61.8%、62%和63.8%。然而,五岁以下儿童的疟疾负担仍然最高,DALYs在7至27天的新生儿中达到峰值。2021年,南苏丹的年龄标准化发病率和患病率最高,而乌干达的疟疾死亡率和DALY率最高。科摩罗的疟疾负担显著下降,而埃塞俄比亚在1990年至2021年期间所有指标均有所上升。2021年,儿童体重不足和发育迟缓是疟疾相关DALYs和死亡的主要危险因素。

结论

尽管取得了总体进展,但疟疾仍是东非国家的主要健康威胁,该地区三个主要国家是南苏丹、埃塞俄比亚和乌干达。7至27天的新生儿中疾病负担仍然最高,这凸显了针对性干预措施的迫切需求。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d912/12218005/b798962818fd/12936_2025_5364_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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