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特发性炎性肌病的临床特征及死亡预测因素:一项对572例患者的回顾性研究及“AIRMT”评分

The clinical features and mortality predictors for idiopathic inflammatory myopathies: a retrospective study of 572 patients and the "AIRMT" Score.

作者信息

Yu Youchao, Liu Yinfang, Zhu Xuemei, Ni Yingmeng, Dai Ranran, Cao Hua, Shi Guochao, Feng Yun

机构信息

Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai, 200025, China.

Institute of Respiratory Diseases, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China.

出版信息

Clin Rheumatol. 2025 Jul 2. doi: 10.1007/s10067-025-07495-9.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION/OBJECTIVES: Idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIM) accompanied with interstitial lung disease (ILD) are often rapidly progressive and associated with poor prognosis. This study aims to explore the different clinical characteristics and prognostic factors for IIM with and without ILD and to develop a simple predictive model.

METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated 572 consecutive patients with IIM from January 2017 to May 2022. Clinical characteristics, comorbidities, survival outcomes, and treatments were assessed. The predictors of all-cause mortality were investigated by Cox regression analysis. An ROC curve was drawn to evaluate the predictive value of independent risk factors.

RESULTS

Patients with IIM-ILD were older and exhibited more respiratory and arthritis symptoms, but fewer tumor comorbidities. The first-year survival rate was 86% for ILD and 95% for non-ILD. The mortality rate in IIM-ILD patients was higher than in non-ILD patients (15.9% vs 6.2%, P = 0.001). ILD patients were more susceptible to various types of infections (bacteria, Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia (PJP), fungi, cytomegalovirus, all P < 0.001) and had a higher incidence of intubation (5.1% vs 1.2%, P = 0.009). Age, respiratory failure (RF), tumor, and MDA5 antibodies were independent predictors of survival for both IIM and IIM-ILD. Then, we established the "AIRMT" score and simple "AIRMT" score, which demonstrated good predictive capabilities with an AUC of 0.816 (95% CI 0.766-0.866) and 0.791 (95% CI 0.737-0.846).

CONCLUSIONS

IIM-ILD patients have higher mortality rates and are more susceptible to infections than non-ILD. This study identified various clinical features and several risk factors associated with all-cause mortality in IIM. The "AIRMT" score was constructed as a reliable survival predictor, offering valuable guidance for further research. Key Points • Patients with IIM-ILD were older and exhibited more respiratory and arthritis symptoms but had fewer tumor comorbidities. • IIM-ILDs have higher all-cause mortality rates and are more prone to infections compared to non-ILD cases. • Age, respiratory failure, tumor comorbidity, and MDA5 antibodies are identified as independent predictors of survival for both IIM and IIM-ILD patients. • We developed a practical clinical model, the "AIRMT" score, which could be a reliable and easy-to-evaluate clinical tool to predict all-cause mortality.

摘要

引言/目的:伴有间质性肺疾病(ILD)的特发性炎性肌病(IIM)通常进展迅速且预后不良。本研究旨在探讨伴或不伴ILD的IIM的不同临床特征和预后因素,并建立一个简单的预测模型。

方法

我们回顾性评估了2017年1月至2022年5月期间连续收治的572例IIM患者。评估了临床特征、合并症、生存结局和治疗情况。通过Cox回归分析研究全因死亡率的预测因素。绘制ROC曲线以评估独立危险因素的预测价值。

结果

IIM-ILD患者年龄较大,表现出更多的呼吸系统和关节炎症状,但肿瘤合并症较少。ILD患者的1年生存率为86%,非ILD患者为95%。IIM-ILD患者的死亡率高于非ILD患者(15.9%对6.2%,P = 0.001)。ILD患者更容易发生各种类型的感染(细菌、耶氏肺孢子菌肺炎(PJP)、真菌、巨细胞病毒,所有P < 0.001),插管发生率更高(5.1%对1.2%,P = 0.009)。年龄、呼吸衰竭(RF)、肿瘤和MDA5抗体是IIM和IIM-ILD患者生存的独立预测因素。然后,我们建立了“AIRMT”评分和简化的“AIRMT”评分,其预测能力良好,AUC分别为0.816(95%CI 0.766-0.866)和0.791(95%CI 0.737-0.846)。

结论

IIM-ILD患者的死亡率高于非ILD患者,且更容易发生感染。本研究确定了IIM中与全因死亡率相关的各种临床特征和几个危险因素。构建了“AIRMT”评分作为可靠的生存预测指标,为进一步研究提供了有价值的指导。要点:• IIM-ILD患者年龄较大,表现出更多的呼吸系统和关节炎症状,但肿瘤合并症较少。• 与非ILD病例相比,IIM-ILD的全因死亡率更高,更容易发生感染。• 年龄、呼吸衰竭、肿瘤合并症和MDA5抗体被确定为IIM和IIM-ILD患者生存的独立预测因素。• 我们开发了一个实用的临床模型,即“AIRMT”评分,它可能是一种可靠且易于评估的预测全因死亡率的临床工具。

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