Nagumo Shota, Shimada Takashi
Department of Systems Innovation, Graduate School of Engineering, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Mathematics and Informatics Center, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
PLoS One. 2025 Jul 7;20(7):e0327430. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0327430. eCollection 2025.
Statistical and dynamical characteristics of stock markets have been extensively studied, providing a solid basis for econophysics and its application as "stylized facts". However, most of those studies are for markets under the continuous auction, i.e., trades are executed sequentially. There has been less research on another major type of auction, call auctions, where orders are accumulated and those are executed at once in the final moment. This study focuses on the structure of the limit order books of stocks under call auctions. Using the data of all stocks listed in the Tokyo Stock Exchange, we find that the shapes of the limit order books in call auctions are well fitted by a simple functional form of a hyperbolic tangent. From the fitting, we define the "median spread" and the "width" of limit orders. The ratios of the "width" to the "median spread" of most stocks are found to be similar, indicating that the execution ratios (the trading volume relative to the total number of orders) are nearly equal among them. Furthermore, the deviation in this ratio from the majority is found to be a good indicator to find the stocks of the companies making outstanding profit. Our results demonstrate that those parameters of the structure of the limit order book well characterize the states of the market under call auctions.
股票市场的统计和动态特征已得到广泛研究,为经济物理学及其作为“典型事实”的应用提供了坚实基础。然而,这些研究大多针对连续拍卖下的市场,即交易按顺序执行。对于另一种主要的拍卖类型——集合竞价,即订单累积并在最后时刻一次性执行,相关研究较少。本研究聚焦于集合竞价下股票的限价订单簿结构。利用东京证券交易所上市的所有股票数据,我们发现集合竞价中限价订单簿的形状能很好地用双曲正切的简单函数形式拟合。通过拟合,我们定义了限价订单的“中位数价差”和“宽度”。发现大多数股票的“宽度”与“中位数价差”之比相似,这表明它们之间的执行比率(交易量相对于订单总数)几乎相等。此外,发现该比率与多数情况的偏差是找到盈利出色公司股票的良好指标。我们的结果表明,限价订单簿结构的这些参数很好地表征了集合竞价下的市场状态。