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机构、犯罪风险与需求以及再犯率:一项包含14000名涉及司法程序的成年个体的前瞻性纵向研究。

Agency, Criminogenic Risk and Needs, and Recidivism: A Prospective Longitudinal Study Including 14,000 Adult Justice-involved Individuals.

作者信息

Lussier Patrick, Kouassi Pagnol Landry, Frechette Julien

机构信息

School of Social Work and Criminology, Université Laval, Quebec City, Canada.

出版信息

Int J Offender Ther Comp Criminol. 2025 Oct;69(13-14):1978-2006. doi: 10.1177/0306624X251349530. Epub 2025 Jul 8.

DOI:10.1177/0306624X251349530
PMID:40626698
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12397531/
Abstract

This study examines the role and importance of agency, defined as the ability to recognize personal issues and motivation to change. More specifically, the study aims to explore whether agency can help overcome criminogenic risk and needs in the context of community re-entry among justice-involved individuals. Based on a sample of 14,000 adult males sentenced to probation or incarceration, a series of survival analyses (e.g., Cox proportional hazards) were used to investigate the association between criminogenic risk and needs and agency-related indicators in relation to recidivism. The findings underscore the importance of criminogenic risks and needs while emphasizing the role of motivation to change as a possible moderator. Addressing criminogenic risk and needs while justice-involved individuals face numerous barriers and challenges make desistance from crime a long and difficult process, especially if interventions do not support agentic decisions and behaviors.

摘要

本研究考察了能动性的作用和重要性,能动性被定义为认识个人问题的能力和改变的动机。更具体地说,该研究旨在探讨在涉及司法事务的个人重新融入社区的背景下,能动性是否有助于克服犯罪风险和需求。基于对14000名被判处缓刑或监禁的成年男性的样本,一系列生存分析(如Cox比例风险模型)被用于调查犯罪风险和需求与再犯相关的能动性指标之间的关联。研究结果强调了犯罪风险和需求的重要性,同时强调了改变动机作为一种可能的调节因素的作用。当涉及司法事务的个人面临众多障碍和挑战时,应对犯罪风险和需求使得停止犯罪成为一个漫长而艰难的过程,特别是如果干预措施不支持能动性决策和行为的话。

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Some cognitive transformations about the dynamics of desistance.关于戒除动态的一些认知转变。
Criminol Public Policy. 2022 Nov;21(4):787-809. doi: 10.1111/1745-9133.12609. Epub 2022 Nov 24.
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CONTINUING EDUCATION: TOWARD A LIFE-COURSE PERSPECTIVE ON SOCIAL LEARNING.继续教育:迈向社会学习的终身视角
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Betting Against the Odds: The Mysterious Case of the Clinical Override in Risk Assessment of Adult Convicted Offenders.逆势投注:成年罪犯风险评估中临床干预的神秘案例。
Int J Offender Ther Comp Criminol. 2023 Jul;67(9):887-909. doi: 10.1177/0306624X211049181. Epub 2021 Oct 6.
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Int J Offender Ther Comp Criminol. 2021 Jun;65(8):858-881. doi: 10.1177/0306624X20981045. Epub 2020 Dec 8.
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Maturation beyond Age: Interrelationships among Psychosocial, Adult Role, and Identity Maturation and their Implications for Desistance from Crime.超越年龄的成熟:心理社会、成人角色和身份成熟之间的相互关系及其对犯罪中止的影响。
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