Long-Term Trends in Laryngeal Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Central Serbia (1999-2023): A Joinpoint Regression Analysis.

Laryngeal cancer (LC) accounts for 1-3% of all malignant neoplasms. The aim of this study was to analyze temporal trends in the incidence and mortality of LC in Central Serbia over a 25-year period (1999-2023). Data on newly diagnosed cases and deaths, stratified by sex and age group, were obtained from the Serbian Cancer Registry. Crude, age-specific, and age-standardized incidence and mortality rates were calculated. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to estimate average annual percent changes (AAPCs) and assess their statistical significance. The average annual age-standardized incidence rate (ASR-W) was 11.1 per 100,000 in men and 1.4 in women, with corresponding mortality rates of 5.4 and 0.5, respectively. The highest incidence was observed in the 60-69 age group for both sexes (61.1/100,000 in men; 7.4/100,000 in women), while the highest mortality was recorded in individuals aged ≥70 (35.7/100,000 in men; 3.8/100,000 in women). A statistically significant annual decline among men was observed in both incidence (ASR-W: -0.7%) and mortality (ASR-W: -2.0%). In contrast, trends among women were not statistically significant, indicating overall stability. Although the Cancer Registry in Serbia faces limitations primarily due to data quality issues, it is a key tool for understanding LC trends, guiding health policies, and effectively allocating resources. Given the substantially higher burden among men, it is essential to strengthen tobacco and alcohol control, improve occupational safety, and promote early detection and timely treatment to reduce the disease burden.