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在气候变化时代为人父母:伊朗生育意愿的决定因素

Navigating parenthood in a climate change era: determinants of childbearing intentions in Iran.

作者信息

Alipour Zahra, Ghaedrahmati Maryam, Taghvi Sepide

机构信息

Department of Midwifery, School of Medicine, Qom University of Medical Sciences, Qom, Iran.

Department of Midwifery, School of Nursing and Midwifery, Lorestan University of Medical Sciences, Khorramabad, Iran.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Jul 15;15(1):25552. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-11708-1.

DOI:10.1038/s41598-025-11708-1
PMID:40665136
Abstract

Climate change has significantly altered global ecosystems, including population dynamics, and consequently, decisions regarding childbearing. Climate change is considered one of the factors influencing childbearing intention. Therefore, the present study was conducted to explore the determinants of childbearing intention in women and men of reproductive age in the climate change era in Iran. The present qualitative study employs a conventional content analysis approach. The participants comprised 40 men and women of reproductive age residing in Qom, who were selected from February to July 2024 through purposive sampling while adhering to the principle of maximum diversity and were included in the study after providing informed consent. Data were collected through semi-structured individual interviews until theoretical saturation was achieved and were analyzed concurrently. During the inductive data analysis process, 360 codes and 5 main categories with 16 subcategories emerged. The main categories encompassed "Climate Change Awareness and Its Perceived Relevance to Childbearing Intention," "Ethical Dilemmas and Parental Responsibility," "Environmental and Economic Barriers to Childbearing," "Health Implications of Climate Change," and "Policy Demands for Climate-Resilient Parenthood." Childbearing intentions in the climate change era are shaped by a dynamic interplay of environmental, economic, health, and cultural factors. This understanding emphasizes the necessity of implementing multidisciplinary solutions to protect human health and fertility rates in the context of climate change.

摘要

气候变化已显著改变全球生态系统,包括人口动态,进而影响生育决策。气候变化被视为影响生育意愿的因素之一。因此,本研究旨在探讨伊朗气候变化时代育龄男女的生育意愿决定因素。本定性研究采用传统内容分析法。参与者包括40名居住在库姆的育龄男女,他们于2024年2月至7月通过目的抽样选取,遵循最大多样性原则,在提供知情同意后纳入研究。通过半结构化个人访谈收集数据,直至达到理论饱和,并同时进行分析。在归纳数据分析过程中,出现了360个代码和5个主要类别,包括16个子类别。主要类别包括“气候变化意识及其与生育意愿的感知相关性”、“伦理困境与父母责任”、“生育的环境和经济障碍”、“气候变化对健康的影响”以及“气候适应型育儿的政策需求”。气候变化时代的生育意愿受到环境、经济、健康和文化因素的动态相互作用的影响。这一认识强调了在气候变化背景下实施多学科解决方案以保护人类健康和生育率的必要性。

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本文引用的文献

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Evaluation of climate indices related to water resources in Iran over the past 3 decades.过去三十年伊朗与水资源相关的气候指数评估。
Sci Rep. 2025 Apr 7;15(1):11846. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-95370-7.
2
Fertility knowledge, desire, and associated factors among Iranian couples: a cross-sectional study in Northwest Iran.伊朗夫妇的生育知识、意愿及相关因素:伊朗西北部的一项横断面研究
BMC Public Health. 2025 Mar 27;25(1):1160. doi: 10.1186/s12889-025-22347-6.
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Eco-fertility: examining the climate change-total fertility rate nexus in the context of sustainable developmental goals in a systematic review approach.
生态生育能力:以系统评价方法在可持续发展目标背景下审视气候变化与总生育率的关系。
Med Rev (2021). 2024 Jun 4;5(1):35-43. doi: 10.1515/mr-2024-0024. eCollection 2025 Feb.
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Beyond the body: Social, structural, and environmental infertility.超越身体:社会、结构和环境因素导致的不孕症
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Effects of extreme climate events and child mortality on total fertility rate in Bangladesh.极端气候事件和儿童死亡率对孟加拉国总和生育率的影响。
Heliyon. 2024 Jul 23;10(15):e35087. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e35087. eCollection 2024 Aug 15.
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Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950-2021, with forecasts to 2100: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.204 个国家和地区的全球生育率,1950-2021 年,预测至 2100 年:2021 年全球疾病负担研究的综合人口分析。
Lancet. 2024 May 18;403(10440):2057-2099. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00550-6. Epub 2024 Mar 20.
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Declining global fertility rates and the implications for family planning and family building: an IFFS consensus document based on a narrative review of the literature.全球生育率下降及其对计划生育和家庭建设的影响:基于文献综述的 IFFS 共识文件。
Hum Reprod Update. 2024 Mar 1;30(2):153-173. doi: 10.1093/humupd/dmad028.
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Climate change anxiety positively predicts antenatal distress in expectant female parents.气候变化焦虑症能正向预测孕妇的产前焦虑。
J Anxiety Disord. 2024 Jan;101:102801. doi: 10.1016/j.janxdis.2023.102801. Epub 2023 Dec 5.
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Iranian women's attitude toward childbearing and its' association with generalized trust, social support, marital satisfaction and governmental childbearing incentives.伊朗女性对生育的态度及其与普遍信任、社会支持、婚姻满意度和政府生育激励措施的关联。
Heliyon. 2023 May 13;9(5):e16162. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e16162. eCollection 2023 May.
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Pregnancy intentions of young women in Canada in the era of climate change: a qualitative auto-photography study.气候变化时代加拿大年轻女性的怀孕意愿:一项定性自拍研究。
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