Auditor Models to Suppress Poor AI Predictions Can Improve Human-AI Collaborative Performance.

OBJECTIVE

Healthcare decisions are increasingly made with the assistance of machine learning (ML). ML has been known to have unfairness - inconsistent outcomes across subpopulations. Clinicians interacting with these systems can perpetuate such unfairness by overreliance. Recent work exploring ML suppression - silencing predictions based on auditing the ML - shows promise in mitigating performance issues originating from overreliance. This study aims to evaluate the impact of suppression on collaboration fairness and evaluate ML uncertainty as desiderata to audit the ML.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We used data from the Vanderbilt University Medical Center electronic health record (n = 58,817) and the MIMIC-IV-ED dataset (n = 363,145) to predict likelihood of death or ICU transfer and likelihood of 30-day readmission. Our simulation study used gradient-boosted trees as well as an artificially high-performing oracle model. We derived clinician decisions directly from the dataset and simulated clinician acceptance of ML predictions based on previous empirical work on acceptance of CDS alerts. We measured performance as area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and algorithmic fairness using absolute averaged odds difference.

RESULTS

When the ML outperforms humans, suppression outperforms the human alone (p < 0.034) and at least does not degrade fairness. When the human outperforms the ML, suppression outperforms the human (p < 5.2 × 10) but the human is fairer than suppression (p < 0.0019). Finally, incorporating uncertainty quantification into suppression approaches can improve performance.

CONCLUSION

Suppression of poor-quality ML predictions through an auditor model shows promise in improving collaborative human-AI performance and fairness.