Lan Tian-Hao, Li Wei, Xu Fei, Meng Fu-Lei, Zhang Xing, Ma Jian-Wei, Yang Ning, Zhao Qi-Wei, Zhao Zeng-Ren
Department of Gastrointestinal Disease Diagnosis and Treatment Center, The First Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China.
Department of Nephrology, The First Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China.
J Gastrointest Oncol. 2025 Jun 30;16(3):986-1000. doi: 10.21037/jgo-2024-878. Epub 2025 Jun 27.
The prognosis of colorectal cancer (CRC) varies significantly across different immune subtypes. This study aimed to develop a risk prediction model incorporating the tumor immune microenvironment (TIME) to improve prognosis assessment and predict immunotherapy response in CRC patients, given the significant variability in clinical outcomes across different immune subtypes.
CRC transcriptome data and corresponding clinical information were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were employed to identify m6A-related long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) (mRLs). A risk model was constructed using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression and further validated through nomogram analysis, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Differences in immune infiltration scores and clinical characteristics between low-risk group (LRG) and high-risk group (HRG) were also investigated.
An 11-mRL signature model was established based on their expression profiles in CRC and correlation with m6A regulatory factors. This model demonstrated strong predictive performance for OS, as confirmed by Kaplan-Meier analysis, ROC curves, and Cox regression. Notably, the HRG exhibited significantly higher infiltration of specific immune cells and elevated expression of immune checkpoints [programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1), programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1), and cytotoxic T lymphocyte antigen 4 (CTLA4)] compared to the LRG. Furthermore, the two groups showed distinct responses to immunotherapy, suggesting potential utility in guiding immunosuppressant selection. A nomogram integrating m6A-immune signatures and clinicopathological variables was developed to individualize prognosis prediction.
This study constructed an mRLs risk model that effectively predicts CRC prognosis and immune profiles, offering a potential tool for personalized therapeutic decision-making.
结直肠癌(CRC)在不同免疫亚型中的预后差异显著。鉴于不同免疫亚型的临床结局存在显著差异,本研究旨在开发一种纳入肿瘤免疫微环境(TIME)的风险预测模型,以改善CRC患者的预后评估并预测免疫治疗反应。
从癌症基因组图谱(TCGA)数据库获取CRC转录组数据及相应临床信息。采用单因素和多因素Cox回归分析来识别m6A相关长链非编码RNA(lncRNAs)(mRLs)。使用最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)Cox回归构建风险模型,并通过列线图分析、时间依赖的受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线和Kaplan-Meier生存分析进一步验证。还研究了低风险组(LRG)和高风险组(HRG)之间免疫浸润评分和临床特征的差异。
基于mRLs在CRC中的表达谱及其与m6A调控因子的相关性,建立了一个包含11个mRLs的特征模型。通过Kaplan-Meier分析、ROC曲线和Cox回归证实,该模型对总生存期具有强大的预测性能。值得注意的是,与LRG相比,HRG中特定免疫细胞的浸润显著更高,免疫检查点[程序性死亡蛋白1(PD-1)、程序性死亡配体1(PD-L1)和细胞毒性T淋巴细胞抗原4(CTLA4)]的表达也更高。此外,两组对免疫治疗的反应不同,表明该模型在指导免疫抑制剂选择方面具有潜在用途。开发了一个整合m6A免疫特征和临床病理变量的列线图,以实现个性化的预后预测。
本研究构建了一个mRLs风险模型,可有效预测CRC预后和免疫特征,为个性化治疗决策提供了一个潜在工具。