Liu Lin, Liu Hu, Chen Yang, Wang Ling-Long, Zhao Yan-Bo, Zhang You-En
Department of Emergency and Critical Care Center, Renmin Hospital, Hubei University of Medicine, Shiyan, 442000, Hubei, China.
Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science at University of Liverpool, Liverpool John Moores University and Liverpool Heart and Chest Hospital, Liverpool, L7 8TX, UK.
Int Urol Nephrol. 2025 Jul 17. doi: 10.1007/s11255-025-04670-4.
Sepsis often leads to acute organ dysfunction and significantly increases the risk of mortality, frequently occurring alongside acute kidney injury, termed sepsis-associated acute kidney injury (Sa-AKI). This study aimed to assess whether base excess (BE) is associated with mortality in Sa-AKI patients within the intensive care unit (ICU).
Data were extracted from a US ICU cohort. BE served as the exposure variable, and 30-day and 90-day ICU all-cause mortality were the outcomes of interest. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were performed to assess the associations of BE and mortality outcomes of interest among Sa-AKI patients. Furthermore, multivariate restricted cubic spline (RCS) analyses were used to investigate potential nonlinear relationships between BE and outcomes of interest.
10,812 Sa-AKI patients were included, RCS analyses demonstrated a non-linear relationship between BE and the risk of mortality for both 30-day and 90-day ICU mortality. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models indicated that higher BE groups had a decreased risk of 30-day (Q3: HR 0.79, 95%CI 0.69-0.91; Q4: HR 0.82, 95%CI 0.73-0.93), 90-day ICU all-cause mortality (Q3: HR 0.81, 95%CI 0.72-0.91; Q4: HR 0.84, 95%CI 0.75-0.94) compared with the lowest BE group. Based on RCS analysis, patients were regrouped by BE values (Group 1: ≤ - 4 mmol/L, Group 2: - 4 to 7 mmol/L, Group 3: ≥ 7 mmol/L) for Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Group 2 had the lowest 30-day and 90-day ICU mortality rate (log-rank P < 0.0001).
In ICU patients with Sa-AKI, there is a non-linear relationship between BE levels and 30-day and 90-day all-cause mortality. A moderate BE range (- 4 to 7 mmol/L) is associated with a protective effect, whereas both excessively high and low BE levels increase mortality risk.
脓毒症常导致急性器官功能障碍,并显著增加死亡风险,常与急性肾损伤同时发生,称为脓毒症相关性急性肾损伤(Sa-AKI)。本研究旨在评估碱剩余(BE)是否与重症监护病房(ICU)内Sa-AKI患者的死亡率相关。
数据来自美国ICU队列。BE作为暴露变量,30天和90天的ICU全因死亡率是感兴趣的结局。采用多变量Cox比例风险模型评估BE与Sa-AKI患者感兴趣的死亡率结局之间的关联。此外,使用多变量受限立方样条(RCS)分析来研究BE与感兴趣结局之间的潜在非线性关系。
纳入10812例Sa-AKI患者,RCS分析显示BE与30天和90天ICU死亡率的死亡风险之间存在非线性关系。多变量Cox比例风险模型表明,与最低BE组相比,较高BE组的30天(Q3:HR 0.79,95%CI 0.69-0.91;Q4:HR 0.82,95%CI 0.73-0.93)、90天ICU全因死亡率(Q3:HR 0.81,95%CI 0.72-0.91;Q4:HR 0.84,95%CI 0.75-0.94)风险降低。基于RCS分析,根据BE值将患者重新分组(第1组:≤ -4 mmol/L,第2组:-4至7 mmol/L,第3组:≥ 7 mmol/L)进行Kaplan-Meier生存分析。第2组的30天和90天ICU死亡率最低(对数秩检验P < 0.0001)。
在患有Sa-AKI的ICU患者中,BE水平与30天和90天全因死亡率之间存在非线性关系。适度的BE范围(-4至7 mmol/L)具有保护作用,而过高和过低的BE水平都会增加死亡风险。