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基于改进的遥感生态指数模型评估塔里木河流域生态环境质量

[Evaluating the Ecological Environment Quality in the Tarim River Basin Based on the Modified Remote Sensing Ecological Index Model].

作者信息

Tang Cong-Cang, Li Qiao, Tao Hong-Fei, Mahemujiang Aihemaiti, Mu Zhen-Xia, Jiang You-Wei

机构信息

College of Hydraulic and Civil Engineering, Xinjiang Agricultural University, Urumqi 830052, China.

Xinjiang Key Laboratory of Hydraulic Engineering Security and Water Disasters Prevention, Urumqi 830052, China.

出版信息

Huan Jing Ke Xue. 2025 Jul 8;46(7):4485-4498. doi: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202407130.

Abstract

The Tarim River Basin is one of the most fragile ecological basins in China, and it is of great significance to clarify the trend and driving mechanism of its ecological changes for environmental protection and sustainable development. Based on the ecological characteristics of the Tarim River Basin, which has severe desertification and salinization problems, we proposed a modified remote sensing ecological index (MRSEI) model to comprehensively evaluate the ecological quality of the Tarim River Basin. Furthermore, we explored the trend of the ecological quality and the main driving factors in the study area through the Sen+Mann-Kendall trend analysis and the optimal parameters-based geographical detector. The results showed that: ① The average MRSEI of the study area in 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015, and 2020 was 0.269, 0.248, 0.273, 0.287, and 0.280, respectively, showing a fluctuating upward trend. The spatial distribution of the desert area in the northeast was poorer in terms of ecological quality, whereas the level of ecological quality in other areas from the central region increased gradually with the outward elevation. ② Within the spatial change trend of ecological environment quality in the study area from 2000 to 2020, the proportions of the area with a highly significant decrease, significant decrease, slight decrease, highly significant increase, a significant increase, and slight increase were 0.69%, 2.5%, 43.58%, 0.93%, 3.66%, and 48.65% respectively. The proportion of the area with a slight increase and slight decrease were the largest, accounting for 92.23% of the total area of the study area, indicating that the ecological environment quality of the Tarim River Basin did not change significantly from 2000 to 2020, with slight dominating changes. ③ Evapotranspiration, land use type with elevation was the main single-factor drivers of ecological and environmental quality changes in the Tarim River Basin. Moreover, the land use type with evapotranspiration was the strongest interactive driver, which played a crucial role in ecological and environmental quality changes in the basin. This study demonstrated the effectiveness of the comprehensive ecological management of the Tarim River Basin during the period of 2000-2020 and provides a scientific basis for further sustainable development of the basin and ecological environment monitoring.

摘要

塔里木河流域是中国生态最为脆弱的流域之一,阐明其生态变化趋势及驱动机制对环境保护和可持续发展具有重要意义。基于塔里木河流域荒漠化和盐碱化问题严重的生态特征,我们提出了一种改进的遥感生态指数(MRSEI)模型,以综合评价塔里木河流域的生态质量。此外,我们通过森氏 + 曼 - 肯德尔趋势分析和基于最优参数的地理探测器,探究了研究区域生态质量的变化趋势及主要驱动因素。结果表明:①2000年、2005年、2010年、2015年和2020年研究区域的MRSEI平均值分别为0.269、0.248、0.273、0.287和0.280,呈波动上升趋势。东北部沙漠地区的生态质量在空间分布上较差,而从中部地区向外海拔升高,其他地区的生态质量水平逐渐提高。②在2000 - 2020年研究区域生态环境质量的空间变化趋势中,极显著下降、显著下降、轻度下降、极显著上升、显著上升和轻度上升区域的比例分别为0.69%、2.5%、43.58%、0.93%、3.66%和48.65%。轻度上升和轻度下降区域的比例最大,占研究区域总面积的92.23%,表明2000 - 2020年塔里木河流域的生态环境质量变化不显著,以轻度变化为主。③蒸散量、土地利用类型随海拔变化是塔里木河流域生态环境质量变化的主要单因素驱动因素。此外,蒸散量与土地利用类型是最强的交互驱动因素,对流域生态环境质量变化起着关键作用。本研究论证了2000 - 2020年塔里木河流域综合生态管理的有效性,为该流域进一步的可持续发展和生态环境监测提供了科学依据。

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