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一种贝叶斯逻辑回归方法,用于调查约旦育龄妇女中从未接受过宫颈癌筛查的相关决定因素。

A Bayesian Logistic Regression Approach to Investigating the Determinants Associated with Never Having Been Screened for Cervical Cancer Amongst Child-Bearing-Age Women in Jordan.

作者信息

Mbona Sizwe Vincent, Ananth Anisha, Chifurira Retius

机构信息

Department of Statistics, Faculty of Applied Sciences, Durban University of Technology, Durban 4001, South Africa.

School of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban 4001, South Africa.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2025 Jun 25;22(7):1000. doi: 10.3390/ijerph22071000.

Abstract

Cervical cancer continues to be a major global public health problem, with 661,021 estimated new cases and 348,189 deaths reported in 2022. Approximately 53% of women in Jordan reported not being screened for CC in recent years. This study aimed to investigate the determinants associated with not being screened for CC amongst Jordanian women of child-bearing age. This was a cross-sectional study derived from the 2023 Jordanian Demographic Health Survey (JDHS) with 12,580 women aged 15-49 years. The study employed a non-informative Bayesian binary logistic regression approach to identify the factors that are associated with not being screened for CC. Results showed that the prevalence of not being screened for CC was 83.8% (95% CI: 83.3-84.3). The determinants identified in this study were women's age group (OR = 0.46; 95% CI: 0.34-0.62), education level (OR = 0.56; 95% CI: 0.34-0.91), smoking status (OR = 0.75; 95% CI: 0.63-0.91), women's nationality (OR = 4.30; 95% CI: 1.03-27.74), breastfeeding status (OR = 1.64; 95% CI: 1.31-2.07), wealth index (OR = 0.61; 95% CI: 0.53-0.71), self-reported health status (OR = 0.74; 95% CI: 0.64-0.87), marital status (OR = 1.45; 95% CI: 1.08-1.96), and HIV testing status (OR = 0.55; 95% CI: 0.40-0.75). The prevalence of not being screened for CC amongst Jordanian women of child-bearing age was found to be very high: a red flag for attention. There is a need for interventions such as community awareness campaigns and education programmes focusing on women younger than 25 years, especially women living in rural and underserved areas. Additionally, incorporating policy interventions into public health facilities and having easy accessibility to tools or screening tests may improve rates of CC screening, and thus reduce the prevalence of CC.

摘要

宫颈癌仍然是一个重大的全球公共卫生问题,2022年估计有661,021例新发病例和348,189例死亡病例。约旦约53%的女性报告称近年来未接受宫颈癌筛查。本研究旨在调查约旦育龄妇女中未接受宫颈癌筛查的相关决定因素。这是一项基于2023年约旦人口与健康调查(JDHS)的横断面研究,涉及12,580名15至49岁的女性。该研究采用非信息性贝叶斯二元逻辑回归方法来确定与未接受宫颈癌筛查相关的因素。结果显示,未接受宫颈癌筛查的患病率为83.8%(95%置信区间:83.3 - 84.3)。本研究确定的决定因素包括女性的年龄组(比值比 = 0.46;95%置信区间:0.34 - 0.62)、教育水平(比值比 = 0.56;95%置信区间:0.34 - 0.91)、吸烟状况(比值比 = 0.75;95%置信区间:0.63 - 0.91)、女性国籍(比值比 = 4.30;95%置信区间:1.03 - 27.74)、母乳喂养状况(比值比 = 1.64;95%置信区间:1.31 - 2.07)、财富指数(比值比 = 0.61;95%置信区间:0.53 - 0.71)、自我报告的健康状况(比值比 = 0.74;95%置信区间:0.64 - 0.87)、婚姻状况(比值比 = 1.45;95%置信区间:1.08 - 1.96)以及艾滋病毒检测状况(比值比 = 0.55;95%置信区间:0.40 - 0.75)。约旦育龄妇女中未接受宫颈癌筛查的患病率非常高:这是一个需要关注的警示信号。需要采取干预措施,如开展社区宣传活动和针对25岁以下女性,尤其是生活在农村和服务不足地区女性的教育项目。此外,将政策干预措施纳入公共卫生设施,并使工具或筛查检测易于获取,可能会提高宫颈癌筛查率,从而降低宫颈癌的患病率。

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