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用于北极海产品营养成分和污染物剖析及效益风险评估的监督式机器学习

Supervised machine learning for nutrient and contaminant profiling and benefit-risk assessment of Arctic seafood.

作者信息

Ho Quang Tri, Nøstbakken Ole Jakob, Sanden Monica, Myrmel Lene Secher, Wiech Martin, Bernhard Annette, Nilsen Bente M, Maage Amund, Dahl Lisbeth

机构信息

Institute of Marine Research, Bergen, Norway.

Institute of Marine Research, Bergen, Norway.

出版信息

Environ Int. 2025 Aug;202:109699. doi: 10.1016/j.envint.2025.109699. Epub 2025 Jul 23.

DOI:10.1016/j.envint.2025.109699
PMID:40752396
Abstract

Arctic seafood is a crucial source of nutrients due to its richness in proteins, omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids, vitamins and minerals. However, contaminants including Hg and persistent organic pollutants (POPs) in fish may pose a health concern for consumers. This study aimed to profile concentration patterns including interspecies and regional variations between Barents Sea and Norwegian Sea, and to explore correlations of nutrients and contaminants in five commercially important Arctic marine fish species using supervised machine learning applied to analytical data. These multivariate patterns were subsequently used as input in Monte Carlo simulations to assess the benefit and risk of fish consumption. Except for Atlantic mackerel, fish from the Barents Sea generally had lower concentrations of Hg and POPs than those from the Norwegian Sea, while nutrient concentrations were largely comparable across both regions. Fatty fish, especially Atlantic mackerel and herring had higher nutrient scores than lean fish. Consuming lean fish from 300 to 450 g per week did not entail risk of excessive Hg, dioxins and DL-PCBs exposure. Although weekly consumption of more than 190 g of mackerel or 130 g of herring from the Norwegian Sea, may exceed the tolerable weekly intake for dioxins and DL-PCBs (P > 0.05), both species are excellent sources of EPA + DHA, Se and vitamin D. The nutritional benefits may outweigh the potential risk of dioxins and DL-PCBs exposure. Arctic fish rich in many essential nutrients are important for food security.

摘要

北极海产品是重要的营养来源,因为其富含蛋白质、ω-3多不饱和脂肪酸、维生素和矿物质。然而,鱼类中的汞和持久性有机污染物(POPs)等污染物可能会给消费者带来健康问题。本研究旨在剖析浓度模式,包括巴伦支海和挪威海之间的种间差异和区域差异,并利用应用于分析数据的监督机器学习方法,探索五种具有商业重要性的北极海洋鱼类中营养成分与污染物之间的相关性。这些多变量模式随后被用作蒙特卡洛模拟的输入,以评估鱼类消费的益处和风险。除了大西洋鲭鱼外,巴伦支海的鱼类汞和持久性有机污染物浓度通常低于挪威海的鱼类,而两个区域的营养成分浓度在很大程度上相当。富含脂肪的鱼类,尤其是大西洋鲭鱼和鲱鱼,其营养得分高于瘦鱼。每周食用300至450克瘦鱼不会带来汞、二恶英和二恶英类多氯联苯(DL-PCBs)摄入过量的风险。尽管每周食用超过190克挪威海的鲭鱼或130克挪威海的鲱鱼可能会超过二恶英和DL-PCBs的每周耐受摄入量(P>0.05),但这两个物种都是二十碳五烯酸(EPA)+二十二碳六烯酸(DHA)、硒和维生素D的优质来源。其营养益处可能超过二恶英和DL-PCBs暴露的潜在风险。富含多种必需营养成分的北极鱼类对粮食安全至关重要。

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