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一项关于使用急性生理与慢性健康状况评估-II和序贯器官衰竭评估评分来预测预后的前瞻性观察性研究。

A Prospective Observational Study on Use of Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation-II and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score to Predict Outcome.

作者信息

Keyal Niraj Kumar, Jha Sudhakar, Parween Shahnaj, Haque Ishfa Banu, Ansari Tauqueer, Ansari Istiyaque

机构信息

Department of General Practice and Emergency Medicine-Critical Care Medicine Unit, National Medical College, Birgunj, Nepal.

Department of Internal Medicine, National Medical College, Birgunj, Nepal.

出版信息

J Nepal Health Res Counc. 2025 Jun 29;23(1):152-157. doi: 10.33314/jnhrc.v23i01.5560.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Acute physiology and chronic health evaluation -II (APACHE-II) and Sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) is used to predict overall mortality and sepsis outcome in the intensive care unit (ICU) respectively. There are limited studies that have shown that both score can be used to predict mortality in surgical and medical patients admitted in the intensive care unit.

METHODS

It was a prospective, observational study in a level three intensive care unit of National Medical College, Birgunj. This study was conducted in 542 patients admitted in the mixed intensive care unit of medical; college. Demographic data was gathered from each patient in the preformed sheet at the time of presentation to the intensive care unit. Outcome of patients was recorded in terms of mortality, discharge toward and leave against medical advice. The descriptive data are presented as the number and percentage for categorical data and mean ± standard deviation for continuous data according to their distribution Results: Five hundred forty two patients were included in this study. 340(62.7%) were males and 202(37.3%) were females. 440(81%) patients survived and went home, 65(12%) expired, 26(5%) left the hospital against medical advice (LAMA) and 11(2%) gave do not resuscitate orders (DNR). The discrimination power was similar for APACHE II and SOFA scores (AUC=0.732 versus 0.771, respectively, p>0.05). APACHE II score>8.5 and SOFA >3.5 was cut off to predict mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

SOFA and APACHE II has similar discriminating power to predict mortality in all group of patients in a mixed intensive care unit.

摘要

背景

急性生理与慢性健康状况评估-II(APACHE-II)和序贯器官衰竭评估(SOFA)分别用于预测重症监护病房(ICU)患者的总体死亡率和脓毒症转归。仅有有限的研究表明,这两种评分均可用于预测入住ICU的外科和内科患者的死亡率。

方法

这是一项在比尔根杰国立医学院三级重症监护病房进行的前瞻性观察性研究。该研究纳入了542例入住医学院混合重症监护病房的患者。在患者入住重症监护病房时,通过预先设计的表格收集每位患者的人口统计学数据。记录患者的转归情况,包括死亡率、好转出院和自动出院。根据数据分布情况,分类数据以例数和百分比表示,连续数据以均数±标准差表示。结果:本研究共纳入542例患者。男性340例(62.7%),女性202例(37.3%)。440例(81%)患者存活并出院,65例(12%)死亡,26例(5%)自动出院,11例(2%)签署了不进行心肺复苏医嘱(DNR)。APACHE II评分和SOFA评分的辨别能力相似(AUC分别为0.732和0.771,p>0.05)。以APACHE II评分>8.5和SOFA评分>3.5作为预测死亡率的截断值。

结论

在混合重症监护病房的所有患者组中,SOFA和APACHE II在预测死亡率方面具有相似的辨别能力。

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