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非运动估计心肺适能与糖尿病肾病患者死亡风险的关联:对1999 - 2018年美国国家健康与营养检查调查(NHANES)数据的分析

Associations of non-exercise estimated cardiorespiratory fitness with mortality risk in individuals with diabetic kidney diseases: Analysis of 1999-2018 NHANES data.

作者信息

Ge Xiaoxu, Du Juan, Wang Jiajia, Xi Liuqing, Peng Wenfang, Huang Shan, Xie Ying

机构信息

Department of Endocrinology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Soochow, China; Department of Endocrinology, Tongren Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.

Department of Endocrinology, Tongren Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.

出版信息

Exp Gerontol. 2025 Oct 1;209:112856. doi: 10.1016/j.exger.2025.112856. Epub 2025 Aug 6.

DOI:10.1016/j.exger.2025.112856
PMID:40780398
Abstract

OBJECTIVE

Although non-exercise estimated cardiorespiratory fitness (eCRF) algorithms correlate well with measured CRF, their prognostic value in high-risk populations remains unclear. We investigated the associations between eCRF and mortality risk in adults with diabetic kidney disease (DKD), a vulnerable population with elevated mortality risk.

METHODS

Data from adults with DKD were derived from the 1999-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. The primary exposure was eCRF, which was calculated from validated algorithm incorporating age, sex, body mass index, waist circumference, resting heart rate, physical activity, and smoking status. The primary outcomes were all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated from Cox proportional hazards models for the associations between eCRF and mortality risk.

RESULTS

Among 2045 participants (mean age 61.65 years, 52.10 % men) included, 804 (35.84 %) deaths occurred during a median follow-up of 84 months, of which 296 were from CVD causes. Compared with the highest eCRF quartile, the HRs (95 % CIs) of the lowest quartile were 1.75 (1.27-2.40) for all-cause mortality and 2.29 (1.32-3.99) for CVD mortality. Restricted cubic spline curves demonstrated inversely linear relationships between eCRF and all-cause and CVD mortality. Associations between eCRF and all-cause mortality were stronger in female participants, those with overweight or obesity, and those without prior CVD.

CONCLUSIONS

Lower eCRF was independently associated with elevated risks of all-cause and CVD mortality in individuals with DKD, supporting the utility of eCRF as a practical prognostic tool in clinical management of DKD.

摘要

目的

尽管非运动估计心肺适能(eCRF)算法与测量的CRF相关性良好,但其在高危人群中的预后价值仍不明确。我们研究了eCRF与糖尿病肾病(DKD)成人患者死亡风险之间的关联,DKD是一个死亡风险升高的脆弱人群。

方法

DKD成人患者的数据来自1999 - 2018年全国健康与营养检查调查。主要暴露因素是eCRF,它由包含年龄、性别、体重指数、腰围、静息心率、身体活动和吸烟状况的经过验证的算法计算得出。主要结局是全因死亡率和心血管疾病(CVD)死亡率。通过Cox比例风险模型计算eCRF与死亡风险之间关联的风险比(HRs)和95%置信区间(CIs)。

结果

在纳入的2045名参与者(平均年龄61.65岁,52.10%为男性)中,在中位随访84个月期间发生了804例(35.84%)死亡,其中296例死于CVD病因。与最高eCRF四分位数相比,最低四分位数的全因死亡率HRs(95% CIs)为1.75(1.27 - 2.40),CVD死亡率HRs为2.29(1.32 - 3.99)。受限立方样条曲线显示eCRF与全因死亡率和CVD死亡率之间呈反向线性关系。eCRF与全因死亡率之间的关联在女性参与者、超重或肥胖者以及无既往CVD者中更强。

结论

较低的eCRF与DKD患者全因死亡率和CVD死亡率升高独立相关,支持eCRF作为DKD临床管理中实用的预后工具。

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