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机器人辅助直肠癌全直肠系膜切除并一期吻合术后盆腔感染和吻合口漏的危险因素及风险预测模型

Risk factors and risk prediction modelling for pelvic sepsis and anastomotic leak following robotic total mesorectal excision with primary anastomosis for rectal cancer.

作者信息

Fleming C A, Geitenbeek R T J, Duhoky R, Moussion A, Bouazza N, Khan J, Cotte E, Dubois A, Rullier E, Hompes R, Rouanet P, Consten E C J, Denost Q

机构信息

Bordeaux Colorectal Institute, Clinique Tivoli, Bordeaux, France.

Department of Surgery, University Medical Centre Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.

出版信息

Colorectal Dis. 2025 Aug;27(8):e70188. doi: 10.1111/codi.70188.

DOI:10.1111/codi.70188
PMID:40780871
Abstract

BACKGROUND

Reporting of pelvic sepsis rates following robotic total mesorectal excision (R-TME) for rectal cancer is inconsistent. This IDEAL stage 2b international multicentre study analysed the prevalence of pelvic sepsis rates and associated risk factors following R-TME and generated a risk prediction model for anastomotic leak (AL).

METHODS

Patients were identified through the EUREKA (Expert DUtch, FREnch and UK robotic rectal cAncer centres) collaborative. Adult patients undergoing R-TME with primary anastomosis for biopsy-proven rectal cancer were considered for inclusion. The primary outcome was to report the prevalence and risk factors associated with pelvic sepsis and anastomotic leak and subsequently to generate a risk prediction model for AL (categorized by ISREC criteria). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed to confirm the prediction model for significant risk factors for AL (AUC > 0.5). Calibration and discrimination to assess model predictive accuracy were also performed.

RESULTS

A total of 912 patients were analysed. 14% of patients developed pelvic sepsis and 7% an AL. Pelvic sepsis was associated with the following risk factors: male gender [OR 1.650 (95% CI 1.092-2.539, p = 0.020)], administration of NACRT (with the highest prevalence observed following SCRT) [OR 0.650 (95% CI 0.421-0.994, p = 0.049)], increasing duration of surgery [OR 0.997 (95% CI 0.994-0.999, p = 0.040)]. A moderate strength [AUC: 0.613 (95% CI 0.557-0.612)] risk of pelvic sepsis prediction model for robotic TME for rectal cancer was generated. On internal validation, moderate prediction was further maintained [training group AUC 0.610 (95% CI 0.544-0.611), verification group AUC 0.623 (95% CI 0.524-0.622)].

CONCLUSION

Fourteen per cent of patients will develop pelvic sepsis following robotic TME with primary anastomosis for rectal cancer, and 7% will develop an anastomotic leak. Risk factors associated with pelvic sepsis include male gender, neoadjuvant therapy (SCRT) and longer duration of surgery.

摘要

背景

关于机器人全直肠系膜切除术(R-TME)治疗直肠癌后盆腔感染率的报告并不一致。这项IDEAL 2b期国际多中心研究分析了R-TME后盆腔感染率的患病率及相关危险因素,并生成了吻合口漏(AL)的风险预测模型。

方法

通过EUREKA(荷兰、法国和英国机器人直肠癌中心专家)合作组织确定患者。纳入接受R-TME及一期吻合术治疗经活检证实的直肠癌的成年患者。主要结局是报告盆腔感染和吻合口漏的患病率及相关危险因素,随后生成AL的风险预测模型(根据ISREC标准分类)。进行受试者操作特征(ROC)分析以确认AL显著危险因素的预测模型(AUC>0.5)。还进行了校准和鉴别以评估模型预测准确性。

结果

共分析了912例患者。14%的患者发生盆腔感染,7%发生AL。盆腔感染与以下危险因素相关:男性[比值比(OR)1.650(95%置信区间1.092-2.539,p = 0.020)]、接受新辅助放化疗(NACRT)(同步放化疗后患病率最高)[OR 0.650(95%置信区间0.421-0.994,p = 0.049)]、手术时间延长[OR 0.997(95%置信区间0.994-0.999,p = 0.040)]。生成了一个针对直肠癌机器人TME的盆腔感染中度强度风险预测模型[AUC:0.613(95%置信区间0.557-0.612)]。在内部验证中,中度预测得以进一步维持[训练组AUC 0.610(95%置信区间0.544-0.611),验证组AUC 0.623(95%置信区间0.524-0.622)]。

结论

接受机器人TME及一期吻合术治疗直肠癌的患者中,14%会发生盆腔感染,7%会发生吻合口漏。与盆腔感染相关的危险因素包括男性、新辅助治疗(同步放化疗)和手术时间延长。

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