Stillman Steven, Velamuri Malathi
Free University of Bozen, Bolzano, Italy.
Economics consultant, Washington DC, United States.
Sci Rep. 2025 Aug 8;15(1):29067. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-13930-3.
A growing literature examines the importance of non-cognitive skills (psychological traits) in determining success across many facets of life, as well as their role in moderating the impact of life events on socioeconomic outcomes. While an extensive literature in psychology has found that these skills are mutable over the life course, several papers in the economics literature continue to treat these traits as exogenous to life events for adult populations. Using longitudinal data that measures locus of control (LoC) every 4 years, we show that a subset of life events has large effects on LoC for adults and that some effects persist over several years. We then demonstrate that treating LoC as exogenous to life events can lead to misleading inference when examining its role as a moderator of the impact of life events on socioeconomic outcomes.
越来越多的文献探讨了非认知技能(心理特质)在决定生活诸多方面的成功中的重要性,以及它们在调节生活事件对社会经济结果的影响方面所起的作用。虽然心理学领域的大量文献发现这些技能在人生历程中是可变的,但经济学文献中的几篇论文仍将这些特质视为成年人群体生活事件的外生因素。我们使用每四年测量一次控制点(LoC)的纵向数据表明,一部分生活事件对成年人的控制点有很大影响,而且有些影响会持续数年。然后我们证明,在研究控制点作为生活事件对社会经济结果影响的调节因素的作用时,将其视为生活事件的外生因素会导致误导性的推断。