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老年人中代谢功能障碍相关脂肪性肝炎相关性肝癌的全球、区域和国家负担:基于2021年全球疾病负担研究的趋势与跨国不平等

Global, regional, and National burden of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis-related liver cancer in older adults: trends and cross-national inequality based on the global burden of disease study 2021.

作者信息

Meng Weikang, Hua Jingsheng, Sun Jingyu, Liu Hengfang, Qian Jie, Gu Yating

机构信息

Department of Hematologic Oncology, Taizhou Municipal Hospital, Taizhou, 318000, China.

Department of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Taizhou First People's Hospital, Taizhou, 318020, China.

出版信息

Discov Oncol. 2025 Aug 13;16(1):1547. doi: 10.1007/s12672-025-03399-x.


DOI:10.1007/s12672-025-03399-x
PMID:40802079
Abstract

BACKGROUND: Understanding the temporal trends of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis-related liver cancer (MASH-LC) in older adults is crucial for raising public awareness and informing future policy decisions. METHODS: This is the first study to use Global Burden of Disease (GBD) data to analyze the burden of MASH-LC specifically in adults aged 65 years and older. Utilizing data from GBD 2021, we analyzed the incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of MASH-LC among individuals aged 65 and older from 1990 to 2021. We also examined corresponding age-standardized rates and conducted stratified analyses based on region, sex, age, and temporal changes. To assess cross-national health inequality, we further applied the slope index of inequality (SII) and concentration index (CI), which have not been previously employed in studies of MASH-LC among older adults. RESULTS: Globally, age-standardized incidence, mortality, and DALYs rates (ASIR, ASMR, and ASDR) of MASH-LC in older adults exhibited a significant upward trend, with a higher burden observed in males. The absolute numbers of incidence, deaths, and DALYs increased by 251.59%, 231.08%, and 211.00%, respectively. While ASIR declined notably in high-sociodemographic index (SDI) regions, ASMR and ASDR were highest in low-SDI regions by 2021. China bore the heaviest burden globally, whereas Australia and the United Kingdom experienced the most substantial growth. Cross-national inequality analyses indicate that indicated that the burden of MASH-LC in older adults was more concentrated in low-SDI countries. Additionally, the disease burden escalated with age, with peak burden ages differing slightly between sexes. CONCLUSION: The global burden of MASH-LC in older adults has risen markedly. Targeted preventive strategies are urgently needed to mitigate disease progression and reduce disparities across populations.

摘要

背景:了解老年人中代谢功能障碍相关脂肪性肝炎相关肝癌(MASH-LC)的时间趋势对于提高公众意识和为未来政策决策提供依据至关重要。 方法:这是第一项使用全球疾病负担(GBD)数据专门分析65岁及以上成年人中MASH-LC负担的研究。利用GBD 2021的数据,我们分析了1990年至2021年65岁及以上人群中MASH-LC的发病率、死亡率和伤残调整生命年(DALYs)。我们还检查了相应的年龄标准化率,并根据地区、性别、年龄和时间变化进行了分层分析。为了评估跨国健康不平等,我们进一步应用了不平等斜率指数(SII)和集中指数(CI),这两个指数此前尚未用于老年人MASH-LC的研究。 结果:在全球范围内,老年人中MASH-LC的年龄标准化发病率、死亡率和DALYs率(ASIR、ASMR和ASDR)呈现出显著上升趋势,男性的负担更高。发病率、死亡数和DALYs的绝对数量分别增加了251.59%、231.08%和211.00%。虽然在高社会人口指数(SDI)地区ASIR显著下降,但到2021年,低SDI地区的ASMR和ASDR最高。中国承担了全球最重的负担,而澳大利亚和英国的增长最为显著。跨国不平等分析表明,老年人中MASH-LC的负担更集中在低SDI国家。此外,疾病负担随着年龄的增长而升级,男女的负担高峰年龄略有不同。 结论:老年人中MASH-LC的全球负担显著上升。迫切需要有针对性的预防策略来减缓疾病进展并减少人群间的差异。

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本文引用的文献

[1]
Global, regional, and national trends in ischaemic stroke burden and risk factors among adults aged 20 + years (1990-2021): a systematic analysis of data from the Global Burden of Disease study 2021 with projections into 2050.

Front Public Health. 2025-4-25

[2]
Long-term trends in the burden of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in China: A comprehensive analysis from 1990 to 2021 and projections to 2030 based on the global burden of disease study 2021.

Radiother Oncol. 2025-1

[3]
Global burden due to modifiable risk factors for autoimmune diseases, 1990-2021: Temporal trends and socio-demographic inequalities.

Autoimmun Rev. 2024-12

[4]
Global burden of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease attributable to high fasting plasma glucose in 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2021.

Sci Rep. 2024-9-27

[5]
Global burden and cross-country inequalities in stroke and subtypes attributable to diet from 1990 to 2019.

BMC Public Health. 2024-7-8

[6]
Trends and cross-country inequalities in the global burden of osteoarthritis, 1990-2019: A population-based study.

Ageing Res Rev. 2024-8

[7]
The Effect of Menopausal Status, Insulin Resistance and Body Mass Index on the Prevalence of Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

Healthcare (Basel). 2024-5-24

[8]
Global, regional, and national burden of pancreatitis in older adults, 1990-2019: A systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2019.

Prev Med Rep. 2024-4-11

[9]
Trends in the global burden of vision loss among the older adults from 1990 to 2019.

Front Public Health. 2024

[10]
Low liver fat in non-alcoholic steatohepatitis-related significant fibrosis and cirrhosis is associated with hepatocellular carcinoma, decompensation and mortality.

Aliment Pharmacol Ther. 2024-1

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