Meng Weikang, Hua Jingsheng, Sun Jingyu, Liu Hengfang, Qian Jie, Gu Yating
Department of Hematologic Oncology, Taizhou Municipal Hospital, Taizhou, 318000, China.
Department of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Taizhou First People's Hospital, Taizhou, 318020, China.
Discov Oncol. 2025 Aug 13;16(1):1547. doi: 10.1007/s12672-025-03399-x.
BACKGROUND: Understanding the temporal trends of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis-related liver cancer (MASH-LC) in older adults is crucial for raising public awareness and informing future policy decisions. METHODS: This is the first study to use Global Burden of Disease (GBD) data to analyze the burden of MASH-LC specifically in adults aged 65 years and older. Utilizing data from GBD 2021, we analyzed the incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of MASH-LC among individuals aged 65 and older from 1990 to 2021. We also examined corresponding age-standardized rates and conducted stratified analyses based on region, sex, age, and temporal changes. To assess cross-national health inequality, we further applied the slope index of inequality (SII) and concentration index (CI), which have not been previously employed in studies of MASH-LC among older adults. RESULTS: Globally, age-standardized incidence, mortality, and DALYs rates (ASIR, ASMR, and ASDR) of MASH-LC in older adults exhibited a significant upward trend, with a higher burden observed in males. The absolute numbers of incidence, deaths, and DALYs increased by 251.59%, 231.08%, and 211.00%, respectively. While ASIR declined notably in high-sociodemographic index (SDI) regions, ASMR and ASDR were highest in low-SDI regions by 2021. China bore the heaviest burden globally, whereas Australia and the United Kingdom experienced the most substantial growth. Cross-national inequality analyses indicate that indicated that the burden of MASH-LC in older adults was more concentrated in low-SDI countries. Additionally, the disease burden escalated with age, with peak burden ages differing slightly between sexes. CONCLUSION: The global burden of MASH-LC in older adults has risen markedly. Targeted preventive strategies are urgently needed to mitigate disease progression and reduce disparities across populations.
背景:了解老年人中代谢功能障碍相关脂肪性肝炎相关肝癌(MASH-LC)的时间趋势对于提高公众意识和为未来政策决策提供依据至关重要。 方法:这是第一项使用全球疾病负担(GBD)数据专门分析65岁及以上成年人中MASH-LC负担的研究。利用GBD 2021的数据,我们分析了1990年至2021年65岁及以上人群中MASH-LC的发病率、死亡率和伤残调整生命年(DALYs)。我们还检查了相应的年龄标准化率,并根据地区、性别、年龄和时间变化进行了分层分析。为了评估跨国健康不平等,我们进一步应用了不平等斜率指数(SII)和集中指数(CI),这两个指数此前尚未用于老年人MASH-LC的研究。 结果:在全球范围内,老年人中MASH-LC的年龄标准化发病率、死亡率和DALYs率(ASIR、ASMR和ASDR)呈现出显著上升趋势,男性的负担更高。发病率、死亡数和DALYs的绝对数量分别增加了251.59%、231.08%和211.00%。虽然在高社会人口指数(SDI)地区ASIR显著下降,但到2021年,低SDI地区的ASMR和ASDR最高。中国承担了全球最重的负担,而澳大利亚和英国的增长最为显著。跨国不平等分析表明,老年人中MASH-LC的负担更集中在低SDI国家。此外,疾病负担随着年龄的增长而升级,男女的负担高峰年龄略有不同。 结论:老年人中MASH-LC的全球负担显著上升。迫切需要有针对性的预防策略来减缓疾病进展并减少人群间的差异。
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