Leung Ella H, Grewal Dilraj S, Gerbi Emanuel, Busquets Miguel, Niles Philip, Gong Dan A, Kolomeyer Anton M, Aggarwal Nitika, Boucher Nick, Blim Jill, Sanders Reginald, Hahn Paul
Georgia Retina, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Department of Ophthalmology, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, NC, USA.
J Vitreoretin Dis. 2025 Aug 11:24741264251359888. doi: 10.1177/24741264251359888.
To compare the incremental cost-effectiveness of a clinical trial-simulated step-therapy versus real-world treatment for diabetic macular edema (DME). A theoretical Markov model (follow-up of 2 years and lifetime of 17 years) from the 2025 US societal perspective was used to compare the costs and cost-effectiveness between bevacizumab-first (Protocol AC) and real-world regimens from the Vestrum Health database. The modeling used mean characteristics from a reference case and analyzed low- and high-cost scenarios, total societal costs from formal and informal healthcare and non-healthcare sectors, and differences in utility (visual acuity outcomes) between arms. Protocol AC bevacizumab-first in the reference case was 14% more expensive at 2 years, with a total adjusted societal cost of $69 850 versus $61 304 for real-world treatment. Although visual acuity gains were higher with Protocol AC, the incremental cost-utility ratio (ICUR) was $105 335/quality-adjusted life years (QALY) at 2 years and $151 032/QALY over 17 years, higher than most societal willingness-to-pay thresholds. In the low-cost scenario, Protocol AC was neither cost-saving nor cost-effective at 2 years (ICUR $82 283/QALY) but was cost-effective over 17 years (ICUR $591/QALY). In the high-cost scenario, Protocol AC was not cost-effective at 2 years (ICUR $219 420/QALY) or 17 years (ICUR $207 589/QALY). Probability sensitivity analysis showed that Protocol AC was more expensive in 87% of modeled scenarios and not cost-effective in 76%. Compared with real-world treatment, protocol AC bevacizumab-first treatment for DME was generally not cost-saving. Although better vision outcomes were achieved with bevacizumab-first, the protocol was generally not cost-effective due to greater treatment burdens.
比较临床试验模拟的阶梯疗法与糖尿病性黄斑水肿(DME)真实世界治疗的增量成本效益。从2025年美国社会视角构建了一个理论马尔可夫模型(随访2年,终身17年),以比较贝伐单抗优先方案(方案AC)与Vestrum Health数据库中的真实世界治疗方案之间的成本和成本效益。该模型使用了参考病例的平均特征,并分析了低成本和高成本情景、正规和非正规医疗保健及非医疗保健部门的总社会成本,以及不同治疗组之间的效用差异(视力结果)。参考病例中,方案AC贝伐单抗优先在2年时成本高出14%,调整后的社会总成本为69850美元,而真实世界治疗为61304美元。虽然方案AC在视力改善方面更好,但2年时的增量成本效用比(ICUR)为105335美元/质量调整生命年(QALY),17年时为151032美元/QALY,高于大多数社会支付意愿阈值。在低成本情景下,方案AC在2年时既不节省成本也不具有成本效益(ICUR为82283美元/QALY),但在17年时具有成本效益(ICUR为591美元/QALY)。在高成本情景下,方案AC在2年(ICUR为219420美元/QALY)或17年(ICUR为207589美元/QALY)时均不具有成本效益。概率敏感性分析表明,在87%的模拟情景中,方案AC成本更高,在76%的情景中不具有成本效益。与真实世界治疗相比,方案AC贝伐单抗优先治疗DME通常不节省成本。虽然贝伐单抗优先治疗能取得更好的视力结果,但由于治疗负担更大,该方案总体上不具有成本效益。