Suppr超能文献

收入水平与道路交通死亡人数之间的关系:对22个经合组织国家的实证分析。

The relationship between income level and road traffic deaths: an empirical analysis for 22 OECD countries.

作者信息

Bayraktar Yuksel, Aydin Serdar, Olgun Mehmet Firat, Ozyilmaz Ayfer, Toprak Metin

机构信息

Department of Economics, Ankara University, Çankaya, Ankara, 06590, Turkey.

Robinson College of Business, Georgia State University, Atlanta, GA, 30303, USA.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2025 Aug 16;25(1):2809. doi: 10.1186/s12889-025-23726-9.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The increase in transportation and travel demands leads to the development of social welfare, and on the other hand, it may adversely affect socio-economic indicators such as death, injury, air pollution and budget deficit. Every day, thousands of people are killed, injured, or disabled due to road accidents around the world. The high cost of fatal and non-fatal road accidents to national economies is important in terms of policies to be implemented. This study aims to examine the relationship between road accidents and income levels in 22 OECD countries.

METHODS

Poisson Regression, Negative Binomial, and Quantile Regression Fixed Effect were used in models estimation. In addition, the convergence of traffic accident deaths for 34 OECD countries was investigated. Fractional frequency unit root test with structural break was used for convergence analysis.

RESULTS

The findings of the study show that there is an inverted U-shaped nonlinear relationship between road accident deaths and per capita income. In addition, while the increase in health expenditures reduces the number of deaths due to traffic accidents, the increase in alcohol consumption increases these deaths. The results obtained from the convergence analysis indicates that 21 OECD countries converge to the OECD average, but 13 countries do not converge.

CONCLUSIONS

Infrastructure investments for road safety such as traffic lights, curves, wide highways should be effectively implemented by the public. Pedestrians or drivers who put road safety at risk should be given deterrent penalties when necessary. In addition, public awareness should be increased regarding traffic rules and life safety.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Not applicable.

摘要

背景

交通和出行需求的增加推动了社会福利的发展,但另一方面,它可能会对死亡、伤害、空气污染和预算赤字等社会经济指标产生不利影响。在全球范围内,每天都有成千上万的人因道路交通事故而丧生、受伤或致残。致命和非致命道路交通事故给国家经济带来的高昂成本,对于即将实施的政策而言至关重要。本研究旨在探讨22个经合组织国家道路交通事故与收入水平之间的关系。

方法

在模型估计中使用了泊松回归、负二项回归和分位数回归固定效应。此外,还调查了34个经合组织国家交通事故死亡人数的趋同性。采用带有结构断点的分数频率单位根检验进行趋同分析。

结果

研究结果表明,道路交通事故死亡人数与人均收入之间存在倒U形非线性关系。此外,卫生支出的增加会减少交通事故死亡人数,而酒精消费的增加则会增加这些死亡人数。趋同分析的结果表明,21个经合组织国家趋向于经合组织平均水平,但有13个国家没有趋同。

结论

公众应有效实施交通信号灯、弯道、宽阔高速公路等道路安全基础设施投资。必要时,应对危及道路安全的行人或司机予以威慑性处罚。此外,应提高公众对交通规则和生命安全的认识。

试验注册

不适用。

相似文献

1
The relationship between income level and road traffic deaths: an empirical analysis for 22 OECD countries.
BMC Public Health. 2025 Aug 16;25(1):2809. doi: 10.1186/s12889-025-23726-9.
3
Vision screening of older drivers for preventing road traffic injuries and fatalities.
Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2014 Feb 21;2014(2):CD006252. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD006252.pub4.
4
Cycling infrastructure for reducing cycling injuries in cyclists.
Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2015 Dec 10;2015(12):CD010415. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD010415.pub2.
5
Speed enforcement detection devices for preventing road traffic injuries.
Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2006 Apr 19(2):CD004607. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD004607.pub2.
7
Home treatment for mental health problems: a systematic review.
Health Technol Assess. 2001;5(15):1-139. doi: 10.3310/hta5150.
10
Area-wide traffic calming for preventing traffic related injuries.
Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2003;2003(1):CD003110. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD003110.

本文引用的文献

1
The motorcycle deaths to passenger car deaths ratio and economic performance: A panel data analysis.
Accid Anal Prev. 2022 Feb;165:106533. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2021.106533. Epub 2021 Dec 10.
2
A comprehensive study of macro factors related to traffic fatality rates by XGBoost-based model and GIS techniques.
Accid Anal Prev. 2021 Dec;163:106431. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2021.106431. Epub 2021 Nov 7.
3
The sources of the Kuznets relationship between the road deaths to road injuries ratio and economic growth.
J Safety Res. 2021 Sep;78:262-269. doi: 10.1016/j.jsr.2021.06.007. Epub 2021 Jun 30.
4
Relationship between GDP per capita and traffic accidents in Brazilian municipalities in 2005, 2010 and 2015.
Rev Bras Epidemiol. 2021 Apr 16;24(suppl 1):e210017. doi: 10.1590/1980-549720210017.supl.1. eCollection 2021.
6
What can we learn from the historic road safety performance of high-income countries?
Int J Inj Contr Saf Promot. 2020 Mar;27(1):27-34. doi: 10.1080/17457300.2019.1704789. Epub 2019 Dec 23.
8
The global macroeconomic burden of road injuries: estimates and projections for 166 countries.
Lancet Planet Health. 2019 Sep;3(9):e390-e398. doi: 10.1016/S2542-5196(19)30170-6.
9
Are low income and minority households more likely to die from traffic-related crashes?
Accid Anal Prev. 2018 Nov;120:233-238. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2018.07.033. Epub 2018 Aug 30.
10
How did the economic recession (2008-2010) influence traffic fatalities in OECD-countries?
Accid Anal Prev. 2017 May;102:51-59. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2017.01.022.

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍。

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

文档翻译

学术文献翻译模型,支持多种主流文档格式。

立即体验