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映射去中心化加密货币的网络结构与动态:比特币的演变(2009 - 2023年)

Mapping network structures and dynamics of decentralised cryptocurrencies: The evolution of Bitcoin (2009-2023).

作者信息

Venturini Marco, García-Costa Daniel, Álvarez-García Elena, Grimaldo Francisco, Squazzoni Flaminio

机构信息

Department of Social and Political Sciences, University of Milan, Milan, Italy.

Faculté des Lettres, Sorbonne Université, Paris, France.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2025 Aug 18;20(8):e0329617. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0329617. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

At the beginning of July 2025, the global cryptocurrency market capitalisation reached more than $2.8 trillion, with 1 Bitcoin exchanging for more than $105,000. As cryptocurrencies are becoming part of the global financial infrastructure, monitoring their evolution is crucial for determining whether they can be considered a sustainable long-term financial exchange system. In this paper, we have reconstructed the network structures and dynamics of Bitcoin from its launch in January 2009 to December 2023 and identified its key evolutionary phases. Our results show that network centralisation and wealth concentration increased from the very early years, following a richer-get-richer mechanism. This trend was endogenous to the system, beyond any subsequent institutional or exogenous influence. The evolution of Bitcoin is characterised by three periods, Exploration, Adaptation, and Maturity, with substantial coherent network patterns. Our findings suggest that Bitcoin is a highly centralised structure, with high levels of wealth inequality and internally crystallised power dynamics, which may have negative implications for its long-term sustainability.

摘要

2025年7月初,全球加密货币市场总市值超过2.8万亿美元,1枚比特币兑换超过10.5万美元。随着加密货币正成为全球金融基础设施的一部分,监测其演变对于确定它们是否可被视为可持续的长期金融交易系统至关重要。在本文中,我们重构了比特币从2009年1月推出至2023年12月的网络结构和动态,并确定了其关键的进化阶段。我们的结果表明,从最初几年起,网络集中化和财富集中度就按照富者愈富机制上升。这一趋势是系统内生的,不受任何后续制度或外部影响。比特币的演变具有探索、适应和成熟三个时期,具有显著的连贯网络模式。我们的研究结果表明,比特币是一个高度集中的结构,存在高度的财富不平等和内部固化的权力动态,这可能对其长期可持续性产生负面影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/96df/12360650/c5f02b954ef1/pone.0329617.g001.jpg

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