Assaad Leon, Fuchs Rafael, Phillips Kirsty, Schöppl Klee, Hahn Ulrike
Munich Center for Mathematical Philosophy, LMU, Geschwister-Scholl-Platz 1, 80539 Munich, Bavaria Germany.
Graduate School of Systemic Neuroscience, LMU, Großhadernerstraße 2, 82152 Planegg-Martinsried, Bavaria Germany.
Topoi (Dordr). 2025;44(3):675-693. doi: 10.1007/s11245-025-10215-2. Epub 2025 Jun 6.
Agent-based models (ABMs) are widely used to study the complex dynamics and emergent properties of systems with many interacting agents. This includes belief and opinion dynamics as are of relevance to understanding contexts as varied as online social media and the practice of science. This paper argues that such ABMs can capture rich argumentation scenarios in ways that have not been covered in research to date. To clarify the space of potential agent-based models of argument, we distinguish three interrelated notions of argument from the literature. First, refer simply to the propositional content encoded in arguments. Second, describe premise-conclusion relationships that arise between such reasons when asserted as arguments. Third, refer to the deployment of reasons and syllogisms in discussions (be they polylogues or dialogues). We show how modelling each of these three notions of argument naturally involves a continuum of complexity. Specifically, we use the NormAN framework (introduced in Assaad et al. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2311.09254, 2023), which bases ABMs on the theory of Bayesian networks, as a point of reference and draw out its relationship to other modelling frameworks along each of these dimensions. This provides a novel organising scheme to aid model comparison and model choice, and clarifies ways in which these three notions of argument constrain one another. This shows also that NormAN's Bayesian framework not only captures familiar facets of argumentation, but also allows one to study how dialectical considerations influence population level diffusion of arguments (as we demonstrate with a small simulation study).
基于主体的模型(ABM)被广泛用于研究具有许多相互作用主体的系统的复杂动态和涌现特性。这包括与理解从在线社交媒体到科学实践等各种不同背景相关的信念和观点动态。本文认为,此类ABM能够以迄今研究尚未涵盖的方式捕捉丰富的论证场景。为了厘清基于主体的论证模型的潜在空间,我们从文献中区分出三个相互关联的论证概念。首先, 仅指论证中编码的命题内容。其次, 描述当作为论证提出时,这些理由之间产生的前提 - 结论关系。第三, 指在讨论(无论是多人讨论还是对话)中理由和三段论的运用。我们展示了对这三个论证概念中的每一个进行建模自然会涉及一个复杂性连续统。具体而言,我们使用NormAN框架(在阿萨德等人的文献https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2311.09254,2023中引入),该框架基于贝叶斯网络理论构建ABM,以此作为参考点,并沿着这些维度阐明其与其他建模框架的关系。这提供了一种新颖的组织方案,以辅助模型比较和模型选择,并阐明这三个论证概念相互约束的方式。这也表明NormAN的贝叶斯框架不仅捕捉了论证的常见方面,还允许人们研究辩证考量如何影响论证在群体层面的传播(正如我们通过一个小型模拟研究所示)。