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调查长新冠与自闭症谱系障碍患病率之间潜在关联的理论框架和方法学途径。

Theoretical Framework and Methodological Approach for Investigating Potential Associations Between Long COVID and Autism Spectrum Disorder Prevalence.

作者信息

Rudroff Thorsten

机构信息

Turku PET Centre, Department of Clinical Medicine, Turku University Hospital, University of Turku, 20520 Turku, Finland.

出版信息

NeuroSci. 2025 Aug 13;6(3):80. doi: 10.3390/neurosci6030080.

DOI:10.3390/neurosci6030080
PMID:40843696
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12372071/
Abstract

This perspective paper proposes a theoretical framework for investigating potential associations between Long COVID and rising autism spectrum disorder (ASD) prevalence through established epidemiological methodologies. I propose examining temporal correlations, biological mechanisms, and rigorous methodological approaches, including Mendelian randomization, animal models, and evidence-based analyses, that could distinguish association from causation. The proposed framework recognizes autism as neurodiversity while suggesting investigation of environmental factors that may influence expression of genetic predispositions. Hypothesized key mechanisms include neuroinflammation, cytokine alterations, and immune dysfunction. I emphasize the critical distinction between demonstrating statistical associations and establishing causal influence, proposing specific experimental designs that could test causality. This paper presents conceptual frameworks requiring future empirical validation and does not include original data analysis.

摘要

这篇观点论文提出了一个理论框架,用于通过既定的流行病学方法研究长期新冠与自闭症谱系障碍(ASD)患病率上升之间的潜在关联。我提议研究时间相关性、生物学机制以及严谨的方法学途径,包括孟德尔随机化、动物模型和基于证据的分析,这些方法能够区分关联与因果关系。所提出的框架将自闭症视为神经多样性,同时建议对可能影响遗传易感性表达的环境因素进行研究。假设的关键机制包括神经炎症、细胞因子改变和免疫功能障碍。我强调了证明统计关联与确立因果影响之间的关键区别,并提出了可以检验因果关系的具体实验设计。本文提出了需要未来实证验证的概念框架,不包括原始数据分析。

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The IL-1β, IL-6, and TNF cytokine triad is associated with post-acute sequelae of COVID-19.白细胞介素-1β、白细胞介素-6 和肿瘤坏死因子细胞因子三联体与 COVID-19 的急性后期后遗症有关。
Cell Rep Med. 2022 Jun 21;3(6):100663. doi: 10.1016/j.xcrm.2022.100663.
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Whole-genome sequencing reveals host factors underlying critical COVID-19.
全基因组测序揭示了导致重症 COVID-19 的宿主因素。
Nature. 2022 Jul;607(7917):97-103. doi: 10.1038/s41586-022-04576-6. Epub 2022 Mar 7.
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Immunological dysfunction persists for 8 months following initial mild-to-moderate SARS-CoV-2 infection.初次感染 SARS-CoV-2 后,免疫功能障碍持续 8 个月。
Nat Immunol. 2022 Feb;23(2):210-216. doi: 10.1038/s41590-021-01113-x. Epub 2022 Jan 13.
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Prevalence and Characteristics of Autism Spectrum Disorder Among Children Aged 8 Years - Autism and Developmental Disabilities Monitoring Network, 11 Sites, United States, 2018.8 岁儿童自闭症谱系障碍的流行率和特征 - 自闭症和发育障碍监测网络,美国 11 个地点,2018 年。
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JAMA. 2021 Oct 26;326(16):1614-1621. doi: 10.1001/jama.2021.18236.
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Methods of Public Health Research - Strengthening Causal Inference from Observational Data.公共卫生研究方法——加强基于观察性数据的因果推断
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Mendelian Randomization: Concepts and Scope.孟德尔随机化:概念与范围。
Cold Spring Harb Perspect Med. 2022 Jan 4;12(1):a040501. doi: 10.1101/cshperspect.a040501.
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Mapping the human genetic architecture of COVID-19.绘制人类 COVID-19 遗传结构图谱。
Nature. 2021 Dec;600(7889):472-477. doi: 10.1038/s41586-021-03767-x. Epub 2021 Jul 8.
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Potential lessons from the Taiwan and New Zealand health responses to the COVID-19 pandemic.台湾和新西兰应对新冠疫情的卫生举措带来的潜在经验教训。
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