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用于管理海上休闲动力平台安全的多标准决策框架:与SHELL模型的整合。

A multi-criteria decision-making framework for managing the safety of marine recreational powered platforms: Integration with the SHELL model.

作者信息

Hsu Shao-Hua, Yang Yo-Kang, Ho Ya-Fan, Lee Meng-Tsung, Lin Jao-Chuan

机构信息

Department of Marine Environment and Engineering, National Sun Yat-sen University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan.

Department of Marine Leisure Management, National Kaohsiung University of Science and Technology, Kaohsiung, Taiwan.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2025 Aug 22;20(8):e0330820. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0330820. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

The rise of marine recreational activities has led to a growing use of marine recreational powered platforms, raising safety concerns related to navigation. In Taiwan, the current regulatory system for such platforms remains fragmented and under debate. This study aims to support policy development by identifying key safety management priorities. This study utilized the four core components of the SHELL model, which include Software, Hardware, Environment, and Liveware, as the analytical foundation and identified 20 preliminary safety criteria through an extensive review of relevant literature. A Modified Delphi Method and DEMATEL analysis were applied to gather expert insights and prioritize 10 representative indicators. The resulting Influence Network Relation Map revealed that "Comprehensive Management Regulations" had the highest causal influence across all dimensions. Additionally, "Basic Navigation Concepts" and "Emergency Response and Safety Knowledge" were found to be the most central elements. Based on these findings, the study recommends targeted measures including enhanced regulation, improved training, radar monitoring, and spatial planning to reduce navigation risks and promote safer marine recreation. Building on the above findings, this study confirms the effectiveness of an innovative integration of the SHELL model and the DEMATEL method, which provides a structured and adaptive framework capable of systematically identifying systemic navigational risks in marine recreational activities.

摘要

海洋休闲活动的兴起导致海洋休闲动力平台的使用日益增加,引发了与航行相关的安全问题。在台湾,目前对此类平台的监管体系仍然分散且存在争议。本研究旨在通过确定关键的安全管理重点来支持政策制定。本研究以SHELL模型的四个核心要素(包括软件、硬件、环境和人件)为分析基础,通过广泛查阅相关文献确定了20项初步安全标准。应用改进的德尔菲法和DEMATEL分析来收集专家意见,并对10项代表性指标进行优先排序。由此产生的影响网络关系图显示,“综合管理规定”在所有维度上具有最高的因果影响力。此外,“基本航行概念”和“应急响应与安全知识”被发现是最核心的要素。基于这些发现,该研究建议采取针对性措施,包括加强监管、改进培训、雷达监测和空间规划,以降低航行风险并促进更安全的海洋休闲活动。基于上述发现,本研究证实了将SHELL模型与DEMATEL方法进行创新整合的有效性,该整合提供了一个结构化且适应性强的框架,能够系统地识别海洋休闲活动中的系统性航行风险。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e48c/12373208/0482f6861311/pone.0330820.g001.jpg

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