Najem G R, Louria D B, Lavenhar M A, Feuerman M
Int J Epidemiol. 1985 Dec;14(4):528-37. doi: 10.1093/ije/14.4.528.
The state of New Jersey (NJ), USA, has been thought to have an unusually high cancer mortality rate; this assumption has been based on 1950-1969 mortality data for NJ counties. This study presents an analysis of mortality from major cancers for NJ municipalities during 1968-1977, and correlates cancer mortality rates with several potentially relevant variables. Age-adjusted mortality rates for 13 major cancer sites for 194 municipalities of 10 000 or more people in 21 NJ counties were compared with cancer mortality in the US. Municipality rates were correlated with: distribution of chemical toxic waste disposal sites (CTWDS); annual per capita income; the rates of low birth weight, birth defects and infant mortality of NJ municipalities. Clusters of cancer mortality were observed in 23 municipalities in 10 counties in which a total of 98 age-adjusted cancer death rates were at least 50% above the national rate, and each of these municipalities had at least two race-sex-specific cancers in which the observed number of cancer deaths was greater than the expected number of deaths at the p less than 0.0005 level. Of these 98 excessive cancer death rates, 72% involved the gastrointestinal tract. Most of the municipalities are located in the highly industrialized densely populated northeastern part of the State. Correlation analyses showed a consistent and significant (p less than 0.05) negative correlation between income and cancer mortality in 11 of 12 cancers studied. These analyses also showed a significant positive association between 8 of 12 cancers studied and CTWDS in one or more subgroup populations and lesser associations with birth defects, low birth weight and infant mortality.
美国新泽西州(NJ)被认为癌症死亡率异常高;这一假设基于1950 - 1969年新泽西州县的死亡率数据。本研究对1968 - 1977年新泽西州市镇主要癌症的死亡率进行了分析,并将癌症死亡率与几个潜在相关变量进行关联。将新泽西州21个县中10000人及以上的194个市镇的13个主要癌症部位的年龄调整死亡率与美国的癌症死亡率进行了比较。市镇死亡率与以下因素相关:化学有毒废物处理场(CTWDS)的分布;人均年收入;新泽西州市镇的低出生体重、出生缺陷和婴儿死亡率。在10个县的23个市镇中观察到癌症死亡聚集现象,其中共有98个年龄调整后的癌症死亡率至少比全国水平高50%,并且这些市镇中的每一个都至少有两种特定种族 - 性别的癌症,其观察到的癌症死亡人数大于在p小于0.0005水平下的预期死亡人数。在这98个过高的癌症死亡率中,72%涉及胃肠道。大多数市镇位于该州高度工业化、人口密集的东北部。相关性分析表明,在所研究的12种癌症中的11种中,收入与癌症死亡率之间存在一致且显著(p小于0.05)的负相关。这些分析还表明,在所研究的12种癌症中的8种与一个或多个亚组人群中的CTWDS之间存在显著正相关,与出生缺陷、低出生体重和婴儿死亡率的相关性较小。