Pires Rômulo Cesar Rezzo, Leal Maria do Carmo, Silva Antônio Augusto Moura da
Secretaria Municipal de Educação, São Luís, Brasil.
Vice-Presidência de Ensino, Informação e Comunicação, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Rio de Janeiro, Brasil.
Cad Saude Publica. 2025 Aug 22;41(8):e00154024. doi: 10.1590/0102-311XEN154024. eCollection 2025.
Temporal trends in cesarean section (C-sections) rates were analyzed in Brazil and its regions using the Robson classification system. An ecological time-series study was conducted with data from the Brazilian Ministry of Health about C-section rates from 2014 to 2022. Joinpoint models were used to estimate percentage changes in C-section rate trends in the units of analysis. C-section rate in the study period was 56.4%. Robson groups with low expected C-section values (R1 to R4) represented 46% of the total rate of C-sections, with higher rates in the R2 and R4 groups. In these groups, rates increased significantly in Brazil and all its regions during the study period. However, a significant decrease in rates was observed in the R1 and R3 groups, from 2014 to 2016 in Brazil and in the North, Northeast, and Southeast regions. Despite its larger relative size among groups and greater contributions to the total C-section rate, the R5 group had a small but significant increase in rates in the Central-West Region only. Groups with higher expected values for C-sections (R6 to R10) showed a general upward trend, except for R9. The results indicate an excess of C-sections in Brazil and its regions, especially in low obstetric risk groups. Therefore, efforts to reduce unnecessary C-sections should be based on interventions to improve labor management in nulliparous women and promote vaginal birth after the procedure.
采用罗布森分类系统分析了巴西及其各地区剖宫产率的时间趋势。利用巴西卫生部提供的2014年至2022年剖宫产率数据进行了一项生态时间序列研究。采用连接点模型来估计分析单位中剖宫产率趋势的百分比变化。研究期间的剖宫产率为56.4%。预期剖宫产值较低的罗布森组(R1至R4)占剖宫产总率的46%,其中R2组和R4组的剖宫产率较高。在这些组中,研究期间巴西及其所有地区的剖宫产率均显著上升。然而,在巴西以及北部、东北部和东南部地区,R1组和R3组的剖宫产率在2014年至2016年期间显著下降。尽管R5组在各分组中相对规模较大且对剖宫产总率的贡献更大,但仅中西部地区的R5组剖宫产率有小幅但显著的上升。预期剖宫产值较高的组(R6至R10)总体呈上升趋势,但R9组除外。结果表明,巴西及其各地区存在剖宫产过度的情况,尤其是在低产科风险组中。因此,减少不必要剖宫产的努力应基于改善初产妇分娩管理和促进剖宫产后阴道分娩的干预措施。