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犯罪恐惧模式:对犯罪体验性恐惧和表达性恐惧模型的混合方法探索

Patterns of fear of crime: A mixed-methods exploration of the model of experiential and expressive fear of crime.

作者信息

Noble Julien, Jardin Antoine

机构信息

Centre de Recherches Sociologiques sur le Droit et les Institutions Pénales (CESDIP), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (UMR 8183), Guyancourt, France.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2025 Sep 2;20(9):e0329493. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0329493. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

Hundreds of studies have been published on fear of crime, but few models offer a unified framework for this social phenomenon. This is the ambition of the model of experiential and expressive fear of crime (EEF) developed in the mid-2000s by a team of British researchers. However, despite its numerous contributions, this original model faces two limitations. First, the different versions of the model present certain discrepancies. Second, the statistical methods used consistently rely on hypothetico-deductive reasoning, which may overlook the existence of certain combinations of variables. The objective of this article, based on a French piece of research, is to revisit this model by combining two different families of statistical methods: multivariate configuration analysis and logistic regression analysis. The first analysis attempts to overcome these two limitations by adopting an inductive approach, which involves studying the multidimensional structure of the data without imposing predefined structures on them. It identifies four classes of respondents, each associated with a specific relationship to experiential fear and expressive fear. If the 'unworried' and the 'worried-dysfunctional' associate these two dimensions of fear of crime, the 'anxious' and the 'worried-functional' clearly separate them. By adopting an inferential approach, the second analysis aims to determine the sociodemographic factors of these different groups. It shows that the predictors vary significantly from one group to another and that no variable (not even gender) is a predictor for all groups. These results encourage moving beyond the dichotomous conceptualization ('worried'/ 'unworried'), which is still widely used in the study of fear of crime. Systematically identifying these different groups could also help combat fear of crime more effectively by implementing targeted and adapted public policies.

摘要

关于犯罪恐惧已经发表了数百项研究,但很少有模型能为这一社会现象提供统一框架。这正是21世纪中期由一组英国研究人员开发的经验性和表达性犯罪恐惧模型(EEF)的目标。然而,尽管该模型有诸多贡献,但这个原创模型仍存在两个局限性。首先,该模型的不同版本存在某些差异。其次,一直使用的统计方法依赖于假设 - 演绎推理,这可能会忽略某些变量组合的存在。本文基于一项法国研究,旨在通过结合两种不同的统计方法家族来重新审视该模型:多元配置分析和逻辑回归分析。第一种分析试图通过采用归纳法来克服这两个局限性,即研究数据的多维结构而不对其强加预先定义的结构。它识别出四类受访者,每一类都与对经验性恐惧和表达性恐惧的特定关系相关。如果说“不担忧者”和“担忧 - 功能失调者”将犯罪恐惧的这两个维度联系起来,那么“焦虑者”和“担忧 - 功能正常者”则明显将它们区分开来。通过采用推断法,第二种分析旨在确定这些不同群体的社会人口因素。结果表明,预测因素在不同群体之间有显著差异,而且没有一个变量(甚至性别)是所有群体的预测因素。这些结果促使我们超越二分法概念化(“担忧者”/“不担忧者”),这种概念化在犯罪恐惧研究中仍被广泛使用。系统地识别这些不同群体也有助于通过实施有针对性的、适应性强的公共政策更有效地应对犯罪恐惧。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/22d8/12404561/8cef8803df6d/pone.0329493.g001.jpg

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