中国及全球20-54岁人群中早发性卒中的生活方式归因负担:一项使用全球疾病负担研究数据的三十年比较研究(1990-2021年)
Lifestyle-attributable burden of young-onset stroke in Chinese and global populations aged 20-54 years: A three decades comparative study (1990-2021) using Global Burden of Disease study data.
作者信息
Yang Danrui, Fan Guohan, Cheng Jiajia, Meng Qingzhou, Liu Keyang, Shirai Kokoro, Yatsuya Hiroshi, Chen Ren, Zhang Yan
机构信息
School of Health Service Management, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China.
Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka University, Osaka, Japan.
出版信息
Tob Induc Dis. 2025 Aug 29;23. doi: 10.18332/tid/208007. eCollection 2025.
INTRODUCTION
Young-onset stroke represents a growing public health crisis globally along with rapid lifestyle changes. This study investigated the mortality and disability burden of young-onset stroke attributable to modifiable lifestyle factors in China compared with global trends, aiming to identify critical intervention targets.
METHODS
Utilizing Global Burden of Disease 1990-2021 data, we analyzed age-stratified mortality and disability-adjusted life years for four lifestyle risk factors (tobacco, high alcohol use, dietary risk, and low physical activity). Temporal trends were assessed through joinpoint regression and age-period-cohort modeling, with population-attributable fractions compared between Chinese and global populations over three decades.
RESULTS
China demonstrated persistently greater burdens from tobacco and high alcohol use than global averages did, particularly among males, where alcohol-attributable disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) increased 21% faster than mortality rates did. Gender disparities were prominent, with male population attributable fractions (PAFs) for alcohol exceeding female levels by 9.3-fold. Paradoxically, Chinese females presented rising low physical activity-related DALYs despite declining mortality. Midlife adults (aged ≥40 years) showed accelerated risk accumulation, whereas dietary risk reductions in China outpaced global declines by 2.4-fold. Age effects for all risks were weaker than global estimates, although period and cohort patterns aligned closely.
CONCLUSIONS
The diverging trajectories of mortality and disability burdens underscore China's dual challenge: curbing substance-related mortality in young males while containing midlife disability escalation. Culturally tailored strategies addressing gender-specific risk profiles and alcohol-DALY decoupling are urgently needed. These findings provide pivotal evidence for global stroke prevention in transitioning societies.
引言
随着生活方式的迅速改变,青年期卒中在全球范围内已成为日益严重的公共卫生危机。本研究调查了与全球趋势相比,中国可改变的生活方式因素所致青年期卒中的死亡率和残疾负担,旨在确定关键干预靶点。
方法
利用1990 - 2021年全球疾病负担数据,我们分析了四种生活方式风险因素(烟草、高酒精摄入、饮食风险和低体力活动)的年龄分层死亡率和残疾调整生命年。通过连接点回归和年龄-时期-队列模型评估时间趋势,并比较了中国和全球人群在三十年中的人群归因分数。
结果
中国烟草和高酒精摄入导致的负担持续高于全球平均水平,尤其是在男性中,酒精所致残疾调整生命年(DALYs)的增长速度比死亡率快21%。性别差异显著,酒精的男性人群归因分数(PAFs)超过女性水平9.3倍。矛盾的是,尽管死亡率下降,但中国女性与低体力活动相关的DALYs却在上升。中年成年人(≥40岁)显示出风险积累加速,而中国饮食风险的降低速度比全球下降速度快2.4倍。尽管时期和队列模式密切一致,但所有风险的年龄效应均弱于全球估计值。
结论
死亡率和残疾负担的不同轨迹凸显了中国面临的双重挑战:遏制年轻男性与物质相关的死亡率,同时控制中年残疾的加剧。迫切需要针对特定性别风险特征和酒精-DALY脱钩的文化定制策略。这些发现为转型社会的全球卒中预防提供了关键证据。
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