Assessing the Potential Distribution of the Traditional Chinese Medicinal Plant in China Under Climate Change: A Biomod2 Ensemble Model-Based Study.

, a valuable Chinese medicinal plant, faces habitat shifts under climate change. In order to better utilize the medicinal properties of and conduct further investigations, this study utilized the Biomod2 ensemble model to predict and analyze the potential expansion and contraction of suitable habitat areas for in China under changing climatic and environmental conditions. The results showed that, compared to the pre-screened models, the ensemble model significantly improved the prediction accuracy. Currently, is primarily distributed in southern China. Under the projected scenarios of SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5, its suitable habitat is expected to expand overall, with the increased areas concentrated mainly in southwestern, central, and eastern China. As climatic factors shift, the high-suitability center of is predicted to shift slightly southward under the SSP1-2.6 scenario, while under the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, it is projected to move northwestward. In the future, it will be necessary to optimize the warm and humid growth environment for cultivated in China. Meanwhile, wild populations should be closely monitored for the impact of climate change to prevent potential partial reductions in suitable habitats, thereby ensuring ecological balance and sustainable development.