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精神疾病共病与痴呆症之间的强关联:基于14年临床数据仓库的贝叶斯方法

Strong association between psychiatric disorders co-occurrence and dementia: a Bayesian approach on a 14-year clinical data warehouse.

作者信息

Baudouin Edouard, Duron Emmanuelle, Verdoux Marie, Gasnier Matthieu, Pelloux Yann, Bottemanne Hugo, Corruble Emmanuelle, Colle Romain

机构信息

Department of Geriatrics, Hôpital Paul Brousse, Villejuif, France

MOODS Team, INSERM 1018, CESP (Centre de Recherche en Epidémiologie et Santé des Populations), Université Paris-Saclay, Faculté de Médecine Paris-Saclay, Le Kremlin Bicêtre, F-94275, France.

出版信息

BMJ Ment Health. 2025 Sep 9;28(1):1-7. doi: 10.1136/bmjment-2025-301651.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Psychiatric disorders alone are associated with an increased risk of developing dementia. However, the relationship between co-occurring psychiatric disorders and dementia odds remains unclear. This study aimed to assess the odds of dementia (all types) among individuals with several psychiatric disorders and identify relevant co-occurrence patterns.

METHODS

Data were extracted from the clinical data warehouse of the psychiatry department of Bicêtre Hospital, France, between 29 August 2009 and 29 October 2023. Patients aged 45 years and older diagnosed with at least one psychiatric disorder-depressive disorders, anxiety disorders, psychotic disorders, substance use disorders, personality disorders or bipolar disorders-were included. Subgroups were created to evaluate specific patterns of psychiatric co-occurrence associated with dementia. In this case-control study, Bayesian models, including hierarchical models and logistic regression adjusted for age, sex and cardiovascular risk factors, were used to estimate posterior probabilities and ORs for dementia.

RESULTS

Among 3688 subjects, the mean (SD) age at inclusion was 68.7 (12.1) in the dementia group (653 (17.7%) subjects) and 58.2 (10.5) in the non-dementia group (3035 (82.3%) individuals). Compared with those with one psychiatric disorder (2608 (70.7%) patients), the adjusted OR (95% credible interval) for dementia increased from 2.3 (1.7-3) with two comorbidities (789 (21.4%) patients) to 11.1 (5.4-22.2) with four comorbidities (65 (1.8%) subjects). Patients with co-occurrence of mood and anxiety disorders had a mean posterior probability from 48% (34.1-62.2) up to 89.6% (76.8-98.6) of dementia.

CONCLUSIONS

Dementia odds significantly increase with the number of psychiatric comorbidities, with mood and anxiety disorder co-occurrence showing the highest posterior probabilities. Targeted screening strategies should be developed for these patients, with a special focus on patients developing more than one psychiatric disorder.

摘要

背景

单纯的精神疾病与患痴呆症的风险增加有关。然而,同时存在的精神疾病与患痴呆症几率之间的关系仍不明确。本研究旨在评估患有多种精神疾病的个体患痴呆症(所有类型)的几率,并确定相关的共病模式。

方法

数据从法国比塞特尔医院精神科的临床数据仓库中提取,时间跨度为2009年8月29日至2023年10月29日。纳入年龄在45岁及以上、被诊断患有至少一种精神疾病(抑郁症、焦虑症、精神分裂症、物质使用障碍、人格障碍或双相情感障碍)的患者。创建亚组以评估与痴呆症相关的精神共病的特定模式。在这项病例对照研究中,使用贝叶斯模型,包括分层模型和针对年龄、性别及心血管危险因素进行调整的逻辑回归,来估计痴呆症的后验概率和比值比。

结果

在3688名受试者中,痴呆症组(653名(17.7%)受试者)纳入时的平均(标准差)年龄为68.7(12.1)岁,非痴呆症组(3035名(82.3%)个体)为58.2(10.5)岁。与患有一种精神疾病的患者(2608名(70.7%)患者)相比,痴呆症的调整后比值比(95%可信区间)从患有两种共病的2.3(1.7 - 3)(789名(21.4%)患者)增加到患有四种共病的11.1(5.4 - 22.2)(65名(1.8%)受试者)。同时患有情绪和焦虑障碍的患者患痴呆症的平均后验概率从48%(34.1 - 62.2)到89.6%(76.8 - 98.6)不等。

结论

痴呆症的几率随着精神共病的数量显著增加,情绪和焦虑障碍共病的后验概率最高。应为这些患者制定有针对性的筛查策略,特别关注患有不止一种精神疾病的患者。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/55a1/12421598/38fb3297ac50/bmjment-28-1-g001.jpg

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