Yang Xingjie, Qi Zhenhong
College of Economics and Management, Zhejiang A & F University, Linan, Zhejinag, China.
College of Economics and Management, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
PLoS One. 2025 Sep 11;20(9):e0328292. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0328292. eCollection 2025.
This study empirically assesses the income effects of the rice-crayfish co-culture model using endogenous switching regression (ESR) and mediation models, based on survey data from 1,058 farm households in Hubei Province. Key findings reveal that adoption of the rice-crayfish co-culture model significantly boosts farmers' total income: counterfactual analysis shows non-adopters would experience a 22.423% decline in average household income if they ceased adoption. The adoption of the rice-crayfish co-culture model differential impacts on the income of various farmer groups. This divergence primarily stems from the model's significantly stronger positive effect on agricultural income compared to its minimal dampening effect on non-farm income. By examining the mechanism of its effect on farmers' income, we find that adopting the rice-crayfish co-culture model mainly promotes farmers' income by affecting the human capital of the family. Based on the above conclusions, the Chinese government should further promote the sustainable development of the rice-crayfish co-culture model and give full play to its role in increasing farmers' income. Simultaneously, constructing a comprehensive industrial system for the rice-crayfish co-culture model and intensifying technical training are imperative. These efforts aim to enhance the human capital of farmers, which in turn will effectively promote the growth of their income.
本研究基于对湖北省1058户农户的调查数据,运用内生转换回归(ESR)和中介模型,实证评估了稻虾共作模式的收入效应。主要研究结果表明,采用稻虾共作模式能显著提高农民的总收入:反事实分析显示,如果非采用者停止采用该模式,其家庭平均收入将下降22.423%。稻虾共作模式对不同农民群体的收入有不同影响。这种差异主要源于该模式对农业收入的正向影响显著强于对非农业收入的微弱抑制作用。通过考察其对农民收入的影响机制,我们发现采用稻虾共作模式主要通过影响家庭人力资本来促进农民收入。基于上述结论,中国政府应进一步推动稻虾共作模式的可持续发展,充分发挥其在增加农民收入方面的作用。同时,构建稻虾共作模式的综合产业体系并加强技术培训势在必行。这些举措旨在提升农民的人力资本,进而有效促进其收入增长。