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调查管理模式对回答情况的影响是可预测的,并且在各国都具有稳健性:来自29个国家的机器学习模型证据。

Effects of survey administration mode on response profiles are predictable, and robust across countries: Evidence from 29 countries using machine-learning models.

作者信息

Vishkin Allon, Bkheet Eddie

机构信息

Faculty of Data and Decision Sciences, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa, Israel.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2025 Sep 12;20(9):e0330182. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0330182. eCollection 2025.

DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0330182
PMID:40938843
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12431400/
Abstract

Survey data collection can be administered in different modes, including face-to-face interviews and self-completion modes such as paper-and-pencil or web-based surveys. Do data collected in these different modes reliably differ across countries? We address this question using responses from 145,361 respondents in 29 countries to 46 questions in Rounds 8-10 of the European Social Survey (ESS), a large-scale social research project that conducts cross-national surveys in Europe and whose data has been used in thousands of publications. The ESS is typically administered in face-to-face interviews, but due to the COVID-19 pandemic data from nine countries in the tenth round were collected using self-completion methods. In line with previous findings demonstrating differences between administration modes, we show that machine-learning models can predict how surveys were administered, suggesting that data collected in the different modes are not comparable. More critically, we show that even when these models are trained on data from a set of countries, they can predict how surveys were administered in a completely novel country, which indicates that responses in different administration modes reliably differ across countries. Finally, we investigate extreme response styles as one difference in the response profiles of the two different modes. In addition to addressing concerns of data comparability in the ESS, these findings reveal that administration modes of surveys lead to reliable cross-national differences in response profiles.

摘要

调查数据收集可以通过不同方式进行,包括面对面访谈以及自我完成方式,如纸笔调查或网络调查。这些不同方式收集的数据在不同国家之间是否存在可靠的差异呢?我们利用来自29个国家的145,361名受访者对欧洲社会调查(ESS)第8 - 10轮中46个问题的回答来解决这个问题。欧洲社会调查是一个在欧洲进行跨国调查的大规模社会研究项目,其数据已被用于数千篇出版物中。ESS通常通过面对面访谈进行,但由于新冠疫情,第十轮中九个国家的数据是使用自我完成方法收集的。与先前表明不同调查方式存在差异的研究结果一致,我们发现机器学习模型可以预测调查是如何进行的,这表明不同方式收集的数据不可比。更关键的是,我们表明即使这些模型是基于一组国家的数据进行训练的,它们也能够预测在一个全新国家的调查是如何进行的,这表明不同调查方式下的回答在不同国家之间确实存在可靠的差异。最后,我们将极端回答方式作为两种不同调查方式回答概况中的一个差异进行研究。除了解决欧洲社会调查中数据可比性的问题外,这些发现还揭示了调查方式会导致不同国家在回答概况上出现可靠的差异。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cbe1/12431400/fc106f382174/pone.0330182.g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cbe1/12431400/16ee95f2b027/pone.0330182.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cbe1/12431400/7ab7222d5204/pone.0330182.g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cbe1/12431400/582d0258a40b/pone.0330182.g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cbe1/12431400/e7fc215dafe9/pone.0330182.g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cbe1/12431400/fc106f382174/pone.0330182.g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cbe1/12431400/16ee95f2b027/pone.0330182.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cbe1/12431400/7ab7222d5204/pone.0330182.g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cbe1/12431400/582d0258a40b/pone.0330182.g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cbe1/12431400/e7fc215dafe9/pone.0330182.g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cbe1/12431400/fc106f382174/pone.0330182.g005.jpg

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本文引用的文献

1
Tree-based Machine Learning Methods for Survey Research.用于调查研究的基于树的机器学习方法。
Surv Res Methods. 2019 Apr 11;13(1):73-93.
2
Measurement agreement of the self-administered questionnaire of the Belgian Health Interview Survey: Paper-and-pencil versus web-based mode.比利时健康访谈调查自我管理问卷的测量一致性:纸质版与网络版。
PLoS One. 2018 May 21;13(5):e0197434. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0197434. eCollection 2018.
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Eye-Tracking Data: New Insights on Response Order Effects and Other Cognitive Shortcuts in Survey Responding.
眼动追踪数据:关于调查回答中反应顺序效应及其他认知捷径的新见解。
Public Opin Q. 2008;72(5):892-913. doi: 10.1093/poq/nfn059. Epub 2008 Dec 12.
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Sensitive questions in surveys.调查中的敏感问题。
Psychol Bull. 2007 Sep;133(5):859-83. doi: 10.1037/0033-2909.133.5.859.