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急性胰腺炎患者血尿素氮与白蛋白比值与短期及长期全因死亡率的关联:来自MIMIC-IV数据库的见解

The association between blood urea nitrogen to albumin ratio and short- and long-term all-cause mortalities in acute pancreatitis: Insights from MIMIC-IV database.

作者信息

Zhang Min, Lv Lihong, Jin Liyin, Wang Guangdong, Gao Lang, Ge Yuanshuo, Yang Xingyi

机构信息

Department of Gastroenterology Disease, Xianju People's Hospital, Zhejiang Southeast Campus of Zhejiang Provincial People's Hospital, Affiliated Xianju's Hospital, Hangzhou Medical College, Xianju, Zhejiang, China.

Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiao tong University, Xi'an, Shanxi, China.

出版信息

Medicine (Baltimore). 2025 Sep 19;104(38):e44705. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000044705.

Abstract

While the blood urea nitrogen/albumin ratio (BAR) is recognized for its prognostic significance in various diseases, its association in acute pancreatitis (AP) remains uncertain. This research seeks to clarify the relationship between BAR and mortality in patients with AP. Using data from Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV, this study examined the relationship between the BAR and mortality risk in ICU-admitted AP patients. Feature selection was performed using the Boruta algorithm, and risk stratification was conducted via X-tile analysis. Multivariable Cox regression assessed BAR's association with short- and long-term outcomes, while Kaplan-Meier analysis compared survival trends. The predictive performance of BAR was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Restricted cubic splines tested for nonlinear associations, and subgroup analyses explored interactions across clinically relevant subsets. This study analyzed 492 patients stratified by BAR using an optimal cutoff of 9.62 (determined via X-tile software based on 28-day mortality). Elevated BAR (≥9.62) was independently associated with significantly higher all-cause mortality at 28, 90, and 365 days (all P < .001; all hazard ratios in Cox regression showed P < .05). Kaplan-Meier analysis analysis demonstrated significantly reduced survival in high-BAR patients (P < .001). BAR showed strong predictive capacity for mortality (receiver operating characteristic analysis), with a positive correlation with mortality risk revealed by restricted cubic splines analysis (P < .05) and no significant interaction effects across subgroups. BAR independently predicts all-cause mortality in AP.

摘要

虽然血尿素氮/白蛋白比值(BAR)在各种疾病中的预后意义已得到认可,但其在急性胰腺炎(AP)中的相关性仍不确定。本研究旨在阐明AP患者中BAR与死亡率之间的关系。利用重症监护医学信息数据库IV的数据,本研究调查了入住ICU的AP患者中BAR与死亡风险之间的关系。使用Boruta算法进行特征选择,并通过X-tile分析进行风险分层。多变量Cox回归评估BAR与短期和长期结局的关联,而Kaplan-Meier分析比较生存趋势。使用受试者工作特征曲线分析评估BAR的预测性能。受限立方样条检验非线性关联,亚组分析探索临床相关亚组间的相互作用。本研究分析了492例根据BAR分层的患者,使用基于28天死亡率通过X-tile软件确定的最佳截断值9.62。BAR升高(≥9.62)与28天、90天和365天的全因死亡率显著升高独立相关(所有P<0.001;Cox回归中的所有风险比均显示P<0.05)。Kaplan-Meier分析表明高BAR患者的生存率显著降低(P<0.001)。BAR对死亡率具有很强的预测能力(受试者工作特征分析),受限立方样条分析显示其与死亡风险呈正相关(P<0.05),且各亚组间无显著交互作用。BAR可独立预测AP患者的全因死亡率。

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